De La Rosa vs Lipski Analysis and Prediction

De La Rosa vs Lipski Analysis and Prediction

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Montana De La Rosa (11-6-1) vs Ariane Lipski (13-6)

Women’s Flyweight (125)

Montana De La Rosa

De La Rosa is a competent wrestler/grappler who is often hampered by her size and lack of striking. Expect lots of blind shots on the hips and clutching the neck of her opponent. Once De La Rosa has secured the back, however, she can backpack her way for a full round. While De La Rosa has a strong submission game she has struggled to deploy it against the stronger athletes she has faced since TUF.

Ariane Lipski

Finally crashing and burning with her hype train, Lipski is no longer being handed favourable match-ups. After failing to beat Joanne Calderwood and Molly McCann in hand-picked bouts, Lipski feasted on far more generous competition. Her atrocious takedown defence was once again highlighted against Antonina Shevchenko, however. With a lack of volume on the outside, and with no real desire to engage in 50/50 exchanges on the inside (which found her great success on the regional circuit), Lipski appears to be broken goods.

Predicted Result: De la Rosa Decision

Now that the Lipski hype train has fully crashed and burned, through the smoke, it is clear that it was her lack of TDD that shot the Queen of Violence in the foot. With no real volume on the outside, and a lack of desire to engage in the pocket (which found her success on the regional circuit), Lipski needs to rebuild outside of the UFC if she is to lose again on Saturday. De La Rosa is a competent wrestler/grappler, whose size has often been an issue, but should be more than skilled enough to snatch onto Lipski’s back for fifteen minutes.

Ariana Lipski lives up to her nickname of Queen of Violence after securing a delightfully violent kneebar. | De La Rosa vs Lipski
Ariana Lipski lives up to her nickname of Queen of Violence after securing a delightfully violent kneebar. | De La Rosa vs Lipski

Want to view analysis and predictions for all the match-ups on UFC Fight Night 189: Rozenstruik vs Sakai?

CLICK HERE


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