Lima vs Brown Analysis and Prediction

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Lima vs Brown Analysis and Prediction

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Dhiego Lima (15-8) vs Matt Brown (22-18)

Welterweight (170)

Dhiego Lima

Similar to his brother, Douglas, Dhiego Lima is a fighter who attempts to walk along the fence while patiently waiting on the back foot. Unfortunately for Dhiego, he doesn’t possess the same heavy hands as his brother. Occasionally a hard low kick will be thrown, or a jab will be launched to keep the distance, but Lima the technician looks to cruise fights. A crisp left hook is a solid shout against Brown, but it is more likely that Lima breaks down Brown with constant leg kicks against an elderly fighter too slow to adjust.

Matt Brown

At this point in his career, it is fair to say that Matt Brown is over the mountain, rather than a simple hill. At forty years old, and with a record book of punishing fights, Brown’s famed chin seems to have all but worn down. While Brown is still capable of delivering huge power, as seen against Miguel Baeza, the distinct drop in Brown’s speed is visibly stark (once again, seen against Baeza). Moreover, Brown’s only two KOs in the last six years are over similarly aged veterans. The gas tank is no longer capable of keeping Brown around the fringe rankings, and this could be the final nail in the coffin.

Predicted Result: Lima TKO Round 3

Look away Matt Brown fans. At forty years old, and with a record book of punishing fights, Brown’s famed chin seems to have all but worn down. While Brown is still capable of delivering huge power, as seen against Miguel Baeza, the distinct drop in Brown’s speed is visibly stark (once again, seen against Baeza). Dhiego Lima is a patient counter-puncher who glues himself to the fence, but his chopping low kicks will destroy Brown. In a war of attrition, there isn’t much left in Brown’s locker in 2021.

Even at his ripe old age, Matt Brown was able to surprise Miguel Baeza with heavy elbows in the clinch | Lima vs Brown
Even at his ripe old age, Matt Brown was able to surprise Miguel Baeza with heavy elbows in the clinch | Lima vs Brown

Want to view analysis and predictions for all the match-ups on UFC on ESPN 25?

CLICK HERE


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