Dober vs Riddell Analysis and Prediction

Drew Dober (23-10) vs Brad Riddell (9-1)

Lightweight (155)

Drew Dober

Stupid, sexy Dober had to swallow a tough loss to Islam Makhachev last time out. Although Dober possesses solid TDD, he was simply overpowered by a very elite fighter. Dober certainly has wrestling aptitude, but the only fight he has excelled on the mat was against Scott Holtzman. Instead, Dober’s grinding wrestling is often just another look to boost his relentless pressure boxing. An early starter, Dober pours out huge pressure and a suffocating pace which prevents from opponents finding an opening. There are clear holes in Dober’s game that a strong counter-puncher can pick apart, however.

Brad Riddell

Tough as nails, Riddell is a late-round fighter who ramps up the volume to an unbearable heat. Largely spending the early rounds getting reads on opponents, Riddell bides his time to eventually set up hard counters down the stretch. The Kiwi’s chin holds up in large part due to his clear view of the fight, often anticipating incoming strikes and attempting to roll with it. While Riddell has been hit more often than expected during his UFC career, in large part, this is due to his opponent’s threat of wrestling. Dober represents the striker-first fighter that Riddell has faced in the UFC. Technically cleaner, Riddell’s greater variety on the feet with creative counter combinations will undoubtedly lead to a consistent uppercut catching Dober during a level change.

Predicted Result: Riddell Decision

An early starter, Dober pours out huge pressure and a suffocating pace which prevents opponents from finding an opening. It is Dober’s wrestling, or threat of, which will determine his success against Riddell. Often, Dober’s grinding wrestling is often just another look to boost his relentless pressure boxing. Technically cleaner, Riddell’s greater variety on the feet with creative counter combinations will undoubtedly lead to a consistent uppercut catching Dober during a level change. With both men tough as old boots, it’s difficult to see a knockout stoppage from either man.

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