Maia vs Muhammad Analysis and Prediction

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Maia vs Muhammad Analysis and Prediction

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Demian Maia (28-10) vs Belal Muhammad (18-3)

Welterweight (170)

Demian Maia

At forty-three years old, and with a chin that has faded over the years, it is a miracle we still get to see Maia in the octagon. The simple truth is: Maia’s cardio doesn’t hold up anymore. While Maia’s striking isn’t as horrendous as reputed, he now lacks the hand speed or gas tank to rely on it long enough for the fight to end up on the mat.

If Maia is to be victorious at UFC 263, the Brazilian will have to find it in the first round when he is capable of explosive bursts. There is always a chance of the submission, especially if he latches onto Muhammad’s back. Unfortunately, the threat of sub is muted in 2021 when considering the leaps made to Muhammad’s submission defence and Maia’s physical decline.

Belal Muhammad

Thankfully recovered from the horrendous injury sustained against Leon Edwards, Muhammad returns to the octagon for the first time. A wonderful wrestler, Muhammad has made strides in the striking department as well. Muhammad’s swarming boxing combinations prevent fighters from moving off of the cage, while regular posturing for takedowns keep an opponent’s hands low. Eventually, after wearing down an opponent’s guard, Muhammad’s crisp left hook usually has a free route to the chin.

An excellent game-planner, there is little reason to believe that Muhammad would commit hard to his wrestling, however. With the deeper gas tank, crisper hands, and solid chin, Muhammad should be able to ride an early wave of pressure before breaking the old man down during the later rounds.

Predicted Result: Muhammad TKO Round 3

At forty-three years old, and with a chin that has faded over the years, it is a miracle we still get to see Maia in the octagon. The simple truth is: Maia’s cardio doesn’t hold up anymore. If Maia is to be victorious at UFC 263, the Brazilian will have to find it in the first round when he is capable of explosive bursts. An excellent game-planner, there is little reason to believe that Muhammad will commit to his stellar wrestling. Rather, Muhammad should ride on his deep gas tank, crisp boxing and solid chin to ride an early wave of pressure before breaking the old man down during the later rounds.

Belal Muhammad is treated to a free eye test courtesy of Leon Edwards | Maia vs Muhammad
Belal Muhammad is treated to a free eye test courtesy of Leon Edwards | Maia vs Muhammad

Want to view analysis and predictions for all the match-ups on UFC 263?

CLICK HERE


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