Matchroom: Andrade vs Quigley Predictions & Results

Pintsized Background

No matter how hard Eddie has tried to plug Friday’s event, Demetrius Andrade will always struggle to draw in big numbers. Whether it opponents ducking him or Andrade himself not representing a glamorous enough name to risk their titles, Andrade has been stuck in an endless loop defending the WBO belt against B-tier fighters. Try as though the Irish might, Jason Quigley fits the mould once again.

Prefer to read up on the other boxing action this weekend? No worries. Peep our preview of BOXXER: Series 1 Liverpool Predictions. Prefer a review of last weekend’s event to jog the memory, read MAFB: BOXXER Series 1 Liverpool. Number crunching more your suit? Find all of Pintsized scores for your favourite fighters on MAFB Math: BOXXER Series 1 Liverpool.

Unconvinced by Pintsized’s mystical predicting powers? Take a look at our prediction success last month detailed in Boxing Predictions Results: October 2021.

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Andrade vs Quigley: Main Event

Demetrius Andrade (30-0, 18KO) vs Jason Quigley (19-1, 14KO)

Middleweight (160)

WBO World Middleweight Title

Demetrius Andrade

The former Olympian and decorated amateur, Demetrius Andrade, sits on a phenomenal record of 30-0 in the professional ranks. Nearing his fifth title defence of the WBO belt, however, and the fanfare surrounding Andrade could hardly be more muted. Andrade’s low-risk, the heavy-jabbing approach has yet to fail him against the sloppier technicians he has faced – perhaps one of the big boys at Middleweight could spark a bit of entertainment out of the American. His last opponent, Liam Williams, drew Andrade into throwing firepower but that was because the opponent necessitated earning early respect. Quigley, alas, does not.

For a Middleweight, Andrade is ridiculously sharp at keeping the mid-range. Liam Williams attempted to press hard and drag Andrade into an ugly, bruising war in the clinch – yet Andrade’s fleet footwork swiftly drew him along the border of the ropes. Switching between a ducking overhand left or a crisp straight down the pipe, Williams was left dumbfounded as he couldn’t choose where to draw his guard. It is just frustrating for fans then, when Andrade took the foot off the gas after knocking Williams’ down hard in the second round. For a man so desperate for a fight with Canelo, you have to secure the highlight-reel stoppage and subsequent headlines – paydays sadly don’t fall in the laps of the most talented boxers.

Although it could be down to Andrade’s conservative style, there has been little reason to disbelieve that Andrade has an insane gas tank. Holding the same form and composure in the championship rounds as the first, opponent’s find themselves walking onto the same traps and counters throughout the fight. Andrade’s chin showed some signs of wear and tear against Williams, but not much to write home about. In the ninth round, Williams stung Andrade with a single shot, but the champ showed maturity in wrapping up the Welshman and buying time to recover. Jason Quigley carries nowhere near comparable power to catch Andrade by surprise.

Jason Quigley

At thirty years old, it is make or break time for Ballybofey native, Jason Quigley. The former number one ranked AIBA World amateur, Quigley has spent almost the entirety of his career fighting across the US. After almost six years on the professional scene, accumulating twenty-fights of experience, there is not a single bout of note. Fights with Glen Tapia, Tureano Johnson and recently, Shane Mosley Jr, are all gatekeeper level fights before pushing for a world title shot. Quigley’s difficulty in showcasing his superior technical edge at that level raises red flags over his ability to prove it against Demetrius Andrade.

This has all the hallmarks of a real stinker if Andrade is unwilling to push the early pace. Quigley, as shown last time out, is content to snatch early rounds on the back of his tight guard and solid counter-punching. As seen against Shane Mosley Jr, Quigley never expands beyond two-piece combinations or opening out of his shell. It is only against physically stronger fighters that push Quigley to the ropes that the Irishman ramps up the volume. Similar to Andy Lee, when Quigley is under duress he throws his best work. Unlike Lee, Quigley lacks the showstopping power.

Mosley Jr is an honest bruiser of a fighter, but he is a far cry from Demetrius Andrade. Quigley was unable to earn respect from Mosley Jr and was too often dragged into silly 50/50 trades in the pocket. To be fair to the Irishman, he showed the ability to walk opponents down early in his career, but it was against less than reputable opposition. Worse yet, Quigley faded hard against Tureano Johnson when he applied such tactics. Against a slick Southpaw counter-puncher with far superior athleticism? Quigley is going to have to rely on his durability a lot to make this a fight.

Predicted Result: Andrade TKO Round 9

This has all the hallmarks of a real stinker if Andrade is unwilling to push the early pace. Quigley, as shown last time out, is content to snatch early rounds on the back of his tight guard and solid counter-punching. It is only against physically stronger fighters that push Quigley to the ropes that the Irishman ramps up the volume. Similar to Andy Lee, when Quigley is under duress he throws his best work. Unlike Lee, Quigley lacks the show stopping power.

For a Middleweight, Andrade is ridiculously sharp at keeping the mid-range. Liam Williams attempted to press hard and drag Andrade into an ugly, bruising war in the clinch – yet Andrade’s fleet footwork kept him dancing around the centre of the ring. In the ninth round, Williams stung Andrade with a single shot, but the champ showed maturity in wrapping up the Welshman and buying time to recover. Jason Quigley carries nowhere near comparable power to catch Andrade by surprise.

Result: Andrade def. Quigley // TKO Round 2 2:24

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card

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Andrade vs Quigley: Co-Main Event

Julio Cesar Martinez (18-1, 14KO) vs McWilliams Arroyo (21-4, 16KO)

Flyweight (112)

WBC World Flyweight Title

Julio Cesar Martinez

Charlie Edwards’ murderer returns to the ring after cleaning out much of the competition at Flyweight. The heavy-handed Mexican doesn’t have much competition left in a division pretty sparse of bodies. Nevertheless, McWilliams Arroyo represents one of the sternest tests to his WBC World Title. While the sub-100lbs division draws many decisions out of feather-fisted fighters, Martinez stands a clear exception. Ridiculously aggressive from the outset, Martinez sets out on a warpath to deliver an unforgiving volume and pace on opponents. That isn’t to say there isn’t class behind the aggression, Martinez makes solid use of angles to sneak through effective work during his blistering combinations.

Martinez’s defence has long been a thorn in his side. Owing to a general lack of power at Flyweight, in addition to a thoroughly solid chin, Martinez’s defence is based around offence. By forcing opponents to shell up, Martinez can afford to keep his hands low and bide his time in the pocket. Arroyo isn’t the slickest counter-puncher, yet he commits to his shots rather than reactively countering. Martinez hasn’t shown much in the way of elite head movement, and he is sure to absorb some damage in the process of landing on the Puerto Rican.

McWilliams Arroyo

Former World Amateur champion, McWilliams Arroyo, has never made much of a splash in the professional ranks. It isn’t for the want of trying, the Puerto Rican has regularly tried to step up (Amnat Ruenroeng, Roman Gonzalez, Kazuto Ioka) yet has fallen short of the mark each time. Stopping Abraham Rodriguez in Miami earlier this year represents Arroyo’s first significant title, securing the interim WBC World Title, but it has only led him to a painful night of violence with Julio Cesar Martinez.

A major issue that Arroyo will face against Martinez, is his tendency to parry any incoming shot. If Martinez was a calculated single-shot technician, Arroyo could successfully shut down a majority of the offence. Unfortunately, Martinez throws heavy volume that will leave Arroyo’s chin wide open to the Mexican’s punishment. Arroyo can bank on a solid chin to get him through the early rounds, but it will take its toll over twelve rounds. Arroyo’s focus on the body, however, could create a very intriguing dynamic. Martinez showed clear signs of discomfort when feather duster, Charlie Edwards, managed to sneak in a few liver shots. Arroyo’s heavier hands could pay dividends by the mid-point.

Predicted Result: Martinez TKO Round 6

While the sub-100lbs division draws many decisions out of feather-fisted fighters, Martinez stands a clear exception. Ridiculously aggressive from the outset, Martinez sets out on a warpath to deliver an unforgiving volume and pace on opponents. A major issue that Arroyo will face against Martinez, is his tendency to parry any incoming shot. Martinez’ heavy volume will leave Arroyo’s chin wide open to the Mexican’s punishment. Arroyo can bank on a solid chin to get him through the early rounds, but it will take its toll over twelve rounds.

Arroyo’s focus on the body, however, could create a very intriguing dynamic. Martinez showed clear signs of discomfort when feather duster, Charlie Edwards, managed to sneak in a few liver shots. Arroyo’s heavier hands could pay dividends by the mid-point as Martinez tends to confidently bide his time in the pocket. Power for power, however, there is only one winner.

Result: 🚫 NO CONTEST (Accidental Headbutt) 🚫

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Andrade vs Quigley: Rest of the Card

Murodjon Akhmadaliev (9-0, 7KO) vs Jose Velasquez (29-6-2, 19KO)

Super Bantamweight (122)

WBA Super World Super Bantamweight Title

IBF World Super Bantamweight Title

Murodjon Akhmadaliev

Owner of the scariest Boxrec profile shot of all time, Murodjon Akhmadaliev is seeking to continue his rampant rise through the professional ranks. The Uzbeki Super-Bantamweight picked up medals at the World and Asian Amateur Championships, as well as a bronze at the Olympics. Already on his third defence of the WBA and IBF World titles, Jose Velasquez should prove the easiest to date. A last-minute replacement or not, Akhmadaliev should still be able to showcase his crisp boxing on the outside.

An awkward Southpaw boasting a 4″ reach on Friday night, if Velasquez attempts to box with Akhmadaliev, the Uzbeki will jab his head off. Ryosuke Iwasa foolishly attempted to out-box Akhmadaliev on the back-foot, not long before realising he was being regularly out-manoeuvred and pinned to the ropes. Akhmadaliev is hittable, but he manages to keep himself outside of striking range for the most part so that he never takes constant punishment.

Jose Velasquez

A long-time veteran of the South American scene, Jose Velasquez has the thankless job of being a late-notice replacement against a dominant champion. An unfortunate 5’2″, there is no chance that Velasquez can grasp victory by keeping this a clean affair at a mid-range. Rather, Velasquez will have to dip into every ounce of his aggression and force a sweltering pace on Akhmadaliev.

Whether that will be enough to surprise Akhmadaliev is unlikely, the Uzbeki has a wealth of experience under his belt. If Velasquez can open up a cut with a lingering elbow or head clash, the Chilean could frighten the champion. It is wishful thinking, but Velasquez is really up against it and will have to hope for a healthy slice of luck to wrestle the belts off of the champion.

Predicted Result: Akhmadaliev TKO Round 10

An unfortunate 5’2″, there is no chance that Velasquez can grasp victory by keeping this a clean affair at a mid-range. An awkward Southpaw boasting a 4″ reach on Friday night, if Velasquez attempts to box with Akhmadaliev, the Uzbeki will jab his head off. Rather, Velasquez will have to dip into every ounce of his aggression and force a sweltering pace on Akhmadaliev. If Velasquez can open up a cut with a lingering elbow or head clash, the Chilean could frighten the champion. It is wishful thinking, but Velasquez is really up against it and will have to hope for a healthy slice of luck to wrestle the belts off of the champion.

Result: Akhmadaliev def. Velasquez // Decision (unanimous – 119-109, 119-109, 119-109)

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

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Prediction Accuracy

Matchroom: Andrade vs Quigley

Winner: 2/2

Method: 1/2

Round: 1/2

2021 Boxing Season

Winner: 94/114

Method: 65/114

Round: 44/114

Boxing Overall

Winner: 154/188

Method: 111/188

Round: 83/188

Takeaway comments: What is it with Julio Cesar Martinez and his inability to cleanly finish fights?

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