Fowler vs Mueller Analysis and Prediction
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Anthony Fowler (14-1, 11KO) vs Rico Mueller (28-3-1, 19KO)
Super Welterweight (154)
WBA International Super Welterweight Title
Anthony Fowler
Everybody’s favourite CBD salesman returns again against a less than stellar opponent. When Brian Rose represents the greatest test of Fowler’s career since his defeat to Scott Fitzgerald, it leaves a lot of head-scratching as to when the scouser will climb to the next level. It is a shame that Fowler has such a grating personality, as his style is pretty fan-friendly.
Although missing one-shot knockout power, Fowler’s volume heavy swarming forces opponents to engage in extended exchanges. Since joining McGuigan, Fowler’s jab has started to become a more regular weapon of his arsenal – critically the body jab that has stopped the Welterweight from headhunting in the same manner as his early career. While Fowler is able to maintain a ridiculously heavy volume due to a wonderful gas tank, by pouring it on early, fighters are able to adjust to Fowler’s sole pace.
Rico Mueller
You can be forgiven if you hadn’t heard of thirty-three-year-old German, Rico Mueller, before the Fowler match-up. Mueller’s greatest claim to fame is taking P4P great, Jeff Horn, a full nine rounds in his backyard back in 2016. Using Boxing math, perhaps Mueller would also be able to beat Manny Pacquiao. More recently, Mueller dropped a close decision to Jeremias Ponce for the IBF world title, the same Ponce who dismantled Lewis Ritson. While Fowler isn’t the first quality opponent of Mueller’s career, the German’s lack of success against top opposition leaves little to be desired.
Mueller feels like a pretty kind match-up for Fowler. Fighting behind a very high guard, Mueller leaves his ribs exposed and will be vulnerable to Fowler’s 3-4 body hook combinations. The German is tough and is happy to wade through punishment to land off the front foot, but he possesses almost no counter striking to note. Worse yet, when dragged into 50/50 exchanges in the pocket, Mueller drops his hands and leaves his chin wide open. There is only so far a strong chin will take you, and if Fowler cannot find the clean opportunities to put Mueller away, then his potential future at the top of the sport will be in jeopardy.
Predicted Result: Fowler TKO Round 9
Everybody’s favourite CBD salesman returns again against a less than stellar opponent. It is a shame that Fowler has such a grating personality, as his style is pretty fan-friendly. Although missing one-shot knockout power, Fowler’s volume heavy swarming and deep gas tank force opponents to exchange. Since joining McGuigan, Fowler’s jab has started to become a more regular weapon of his arsenal – critically the body jab. Mueller has had experience with top-quality opposition, performing admirably against Jeff Horn and Jeremias Ponce, but his style is extremely limited. Walking opponents down with a high guard, Mueller throws powerful shots off the front foot and aims to break down opponents. The German lacks any sort of educated counter-game, and especially troublesome against Fowler is Mueller’s tendency to drop his hands when dragged into wars in the pocket. here is only so far a strong chin will take you, and if Fowler cannot find the clean opportunities to put Mueller away, then his potential future at the top of the sport will be in jeopardy.

Want to view analysis and predictions for all the match-ups on Xu Can vs Wood?
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