UFC Vegas 58 Predictions, Odds and Results: Dos Anjos vs Fiziev

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UFC Vegas 58 Predictions, Odds and Results: Dos Anjos vs Fiziev

Pintsized Background

It ain’t much, but it’s honest scheduling for UFC Vegas 58. A top-end Lightweight bout features as the UFC Vegas 58 main event. RDA has rebuilt exceptionally well after suffering a 1-4 period over 2018-2020. Can the Brazilian’s high-pressure approach wear on the explosive speed of Rafael Fiziev?

Lower down the card on the UFC Vegas 58 Prelims, the fights have been set for carnage. Expect heavy artillery and fireworks from the heavy-hitting likes of David Onama and Kennedy Nzechukwu. BTEC Valentina, Antonina Shevchenko, also appears in a winnable match-up against the game yet weathered Cortney Casey.

Where/When is UFC Vegas 58 taking place:
July 9, 2022. UFC Apex. Nevada, United States.

What time does UFC Vegas 58 start:
🇬🇧 UK: 11pm / 🇺🇸 US ET: 6pm

What channel is UFC Vegas 58 on:
🇬🇧 UK: BT Sports / 🇺🇸 US: ESPN+

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Michael Johnson returning to the W column is always a welcome sight | UFC Vegas 58 Predictions
Michael Johnson returning to the W column is always a welcome sight

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UFC Vegas 58 Picks & Odds

UFC Vegas 58 Fights & OddsWinnerMethodRound
Rafael dos Anjos (+180)
Rafael Fiziev (-210)
dos AnjosDecision/
Armen Petrosyan (+175)
Caio Borralho (-205)
BorralhoDecision/
Douglas Silva de Andrade (+230)
Said Nurmagomedov (-275)
NurmagomedovTKO3
Jared Vanderaa (-180)
Chase Sherman (+155)
VanderaaTKO2
Cynthia Calvillo (-155)
Nina Nunes (+145)
NunesDecision/
Jamie Mullarkey (-230)
Michael Johnson (+195)
MullarkeyTKO3
Aiemann Zahabi (+160)
Ricky Turcios (-190)0
TurciosDecision/
Cody Brundage (+110)
Tresean Gore (-130)
GoreTKO3
Ronnie Lawrence (-140)
Saidyokub Kakhramonov (+120)
LawrenceDecision/
David Onama (+225)
Garrett Armfield (-275)
OnamaTKO1
Karl Roberson (-115)
Kennedy Nzechukwu (-105
NzechukwuTKO2
Antonina Shevchenko (-170)
Cortney Casey (+145)
ShevchenkoDecision/
Odds are based on BestFightOdds.com. All odds of 4 June 2022..

UFC Vegas 58: Main Event

Rafael Dos Anjos vs Rafael Fiziev

Lightweight (155)

Rafael Dos Anjos (31-13)

Be honest, you all forgot that Dos Anjos fought Renato Moicano to a decision earlier this year. Somehow, the fight had totally slipped my mind. Perhaps years of pushing back bitter memories of the Brazilian being out-wrestled in brutal match-ups has had an effect. I felt that the thirty-seven-year-old would fall off an athletic cliff at some point over the last few years. The crafty former champion has managed to outfox Father Time so far.

Wrestling has to be a key part of RDA’s game. Fiziev was taken down by Brad Riddell late in their fight after the Kyrgyzstan fighter had started to slow. I’m not sure that Dos Anjos’ chin can afford to allow a fresh Fiziev to dictate proceedings on the feet. It’s a stellar chin, don’t get me wrong, but Fiziev possesses freakish speed. If RDA hungrily devours the centre of the octagon, the Brazilian can more effectively set about an attrition-based attack.

Rafael Fiziev (11-1)

Insanely fast on the outside and in the pocket, Rafael Fiziev manages to balance offence and defence expertly. In a tit-for-tat match with his former sparring partner, Brad Riddell, Fiziev was constantly first to the punch (or kicK). Marc Diakiese is an athletic specimen himself, yet Fiziev pulled off superhero-level defensive weaves to protect himself.

Worryingly, Fiziev has a very questionable gas tank. Bobby Green ate a fair bit of punishment, but he also slipped and rolled with several of Fiziev’s explosive shots. By the mid-point, there was a clear dropoff in output for the Kyrgyzstani. Over five rounds against a pressure, volume fighter in RDA, Fiziev is certain to struggle with the pace by the championship rounds.

Predicted Result: RDA Decision

Insanely fast on the outside and in the pocket, Rafael Fiziev manages to balance offence and defence expertly. In a tit-for-tat match with his former sparring partner, Brad Riddell, Fiziev was constantly first to the punch (or kicK). While Dos Anjos owns a stellar chin, it would be unwise for the thirty-seven-year-old to contemplate anything other than an early grappling-centric approach.

The major concern resides with Fiziev’s questionable gas tank. Bobby Green ate a fair bit of punishment, but he also slipped and rolled with several of Fiziev’s explosive shots. By the mid-point, there was a clear dropoff in output for the Kyrgyzstani. Over five rounds against a consistent pressure fighter in RDA, Fiziev is certain to struggle with the pace by the championship rounds.

Result: Fiziev def. dos Anjos // KO (punches) Round 5 0:18

Winner ❌ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

It wasn't that long ago that RDA comfortably handled Paul Felder | UFC Vegas 58
It wasn’t that long ago that RDA comfortably handled Paul Felder

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UFC Vegas 58: Co-Main Event

Caio Borralho vs Armen Petrosyan

Middleweight (185)

Caio Borralho (11-1)

How does this man keep earning co-main event slots? I quite enjoy watching the Brazilian, but he barely owns the credentials to have earnt it. Borralho could certainly out-grapple Petrosyan, but he rarely pursues takedowns himself. Even if the Armenian is peppered on the feet, the thought of a takedown will not grace his mind. Aside from a few tricks on the feet, Borralho is predominantly a slower-paced, single-shot kickboxer.

Armen Petrosyan (7-1)

Fair play to Petrosyan, he beat my boy, Gregory Rodrigues. The Armenian scrambled well at times with the Brazilian, yet Robocop is an ambitious grappler. Borralho is a more consistent, methodical grappler. In the same scenario, it’s difficult to see Petrosyan return to his feet. Natural power and an entertaining array of knockout shots ensure that this will be a tasty affair early, however.

Predicted Result: Borralho Decision

Petrosyan showed decent TDD and effective scrambles against Gregory Rodrigues last time out. The Armenian also possesses natural power and an entertaining array of knockout shots that will ensure it is a tasty affair early. Borralho is a consistent, methodical grappler, however. There is a high chance that Borralho finds Petrosyan’s back and rides out the later rounds.

Result: Borralho def. Petrosyan // Decision (UD – 29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Will we see another Armen Petrosyan highlight reel KO? | UFC Vegas 58 Predictions
Will we see another Armen Petrosyan highlight reel KO?

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UFC Vegas 58: Main Card

Said Nurmagomedov vs Douglas Silva de Andrade

Bantamweight (135)

Said Nurmagomedov (15-2)

Not just another Dagestani grappling clone, Said Nurmagomedov is an electric striker with a ferocious bag of kicks. Said’s control of range is exceptional, an area that Silva de Andrade regularly struggles with. While the Brazilian will remain an explosive threat throughout, it’s unlikely that he will be able to lull Said into any fight-changing tricks.

Douglas Silva de Andrade (28-4)

Douglas Silva de Andrade continues to pick up hilarious knockout highlight reels, but it all stems from his physicality. Athletically matched by Nurmagomedov, this could be a punishing affair for the Brazilian as he is pieced apart on the outside. Without consistent cage-cutting to drag the fight on to the inside, this may be the breakout performance that pushes Said into bigger fights.

Predicted Result: Nurmagomedov TKO Round 3

Said Nurmagomedov is an electric striker with a ferocious bag of kicks. Said’s control of range is exceptional, an area that Silva de Andrade regularly struggles with. While the Brazilian will remain an explosive threat throughout, it’s unlikely that he will be able to lull Said into his third highlight reel KO in a row. Without consistent cage-cutting to drag the fight on to the inside, this may well be the breakout performance that pushes Said into bigger fights.

Result: Nurmagomedov def. de Andrade // Decision (UD – 29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Chase Sherman vs Jared Vanderaa

Heavyweight (265)

Chase Sherman (15-10)

A four-fight loss streak. Mentally broken. Sat on a merry-go-round of being cut by the UFC before scampering back with a late notice call. The submission loss to Jake Collier was damning. Sherman doesn’t look comfortable fighting anymore. It’s such a shame as Sherman can be an entertaining counter-puncher, he battered Ike Villanueva to a bloody pulp just two years ago.

Jared Vanderaa (12-8)

Vanderaa is far worse in every department when compared to Sherman apart from mental fortitude. Sherman is a broken husk of a fighter while Vanderaa is consistently durable. As long as the thirty-year-old continues to plod forward and press an uncomfortable pace, he will eventually break Sherman’s waning confidence.

Predicted Result: Vanderaa TKO Round 2

Vanderaa is far worse in every department when compared to Sherman apart from mental fortitude. Sherman is a broken husk of a fighter while Vanderaa is consistently durable. As long as the thirty-year-old continues to plod forward and press an uncomfortable pace, he will eventually break Sherman’s waning confidence.

Result: Sherman def. Vanderaa // TKO (punches) Round 3 3:10

Winner ❌ // Method ✔️ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Cynthia Calvillo vs Nina Nunes

Women’s Flyweight (125)

Cynthia Calvillo (9-4-1)

A loser leaves town sort of fight. From the main event victory over Jessica Eye to a three-fight slide. You have to strain to remember a time when Calvillo was considered a lukewarm prospect, but hey, it happened! There has been no improvement to Calvillo’s game, with the blueprint truly figured out by not. Calvillo can be dragged into a war on the feet and will ignore her strong grappling base.

Nina Nunes (10-7)

Nina Nunes has faced difficult stylistic match-ups in her past two fights. Nunes has always suffered on the mat and it just so happens that the UFC has chucked her in with two of the best on the mat. If Calvillo opts to pursue a ground-based war, it could be interesting. As Calvillo is adamant about striking her way back to form, it’ll make it a more equal affair with Nunes’ pressure and volume likely to claim rounds on the scorecards.

Predicted Result: Nunes Decision

Calvillo can be dragged into a war on the feet and will ignore her strong grappling base. Nunes has always suffered on the mat and it just so happens that the UFC has chucked her in with two of the best on the mat. If Calvillo pursues aims to grapple, this could be interesting. Recent fights indicate that Calvillo is adamant about striking her way back to form, allowing Nunes’ pressure and volume to claim rounds on the scorecards.

Result: 🚫 FIGHT CANCELLED (Nunes illness) 🚫

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Michael Johnson vs Jamie Mullarkey

Lightweight (155)

Michael Johnson (20-17)

It felt so damn good to see Michael Johnson break his slide and earn a classic KO victory over Alan Patrick. There is no denying that The Menace has a vital yard of pace. Johnson still possesses blistering hand speed, but his defensive awareness appears to have degraded further. Mullarkey is happy to trade 50/50, but once the Australian has been tagged enough times, he will shoot. If the fight hits the mat, it could be a classic Michael Johnson capitulation.

Jamie Mullarkey (14-5)

The Australian is best advised to keep his mitts up and expect to eat a healthy serving of punishment in the opening trades. Mullarkey is used to eating shots, however, and has shown exceptional recovery throughout his career. A reactive wrestler, Mullarkey will eventually hit a snap takedown that ends the fun on the feet.

Predicted Result: Mullarkey TKO Round 3

Johnson still possesses blistering hand speed, but his defensive awareness appears to have degraded further. Mullarkey is happy to trade 50/50, but once the Australian has been tagged enough times, he will shoot. If the fight hits the mat, it could be a classic Michael Johnson capitulation. As the Aussie has shown exceptional recovery over his career, and Johnson often finds a perfect way to lose, Mullarkey has to be considered the safer back.

Result: Mullarkey def. Johnson // Decision (split – 28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

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UFC Vegas 58: Preliminary Card

Aiemann Zahabi vs Ricky Turcios

Bantamweight (135)

Aiemann Zahabi (8-2)

When I’d all but written off Aiemann Zahabi, he pulls out a peach of an overhand right in the first round against Drako Rodriguez. Turcios absolutely could run riot off an athletic edge alone, it depends on whether Zahabi is allowed to set a comfortable pace. There’s a decent case to be made for Zahabi out-pointing Turcios in a clean striking affair. Unfortunately, Zahabi has shown clear weaknesses on the mat. The ground represents the key area, where Turcios’ high-octane scrambles and ambitious submission attempts could cause issues.

Ricky Turcios (11-2)

Pretty Ricky gains durability over the fight and always brings excitement to the cage. Turcios is a terrible decision-maker, but his fluid adaptive skillset often makes him a difficult opponent to game plan against. Turcios will be more than happy if he can drag Zahabi into punch-for-punch trades and ensure he can draw on his gas tank to pull away late.

Predicted Result: Turcios Decision

Turcios is a terrible decision-maker, but his fluid adaptive skillset often makes him a difficult opponent to game plan against. Turcios will be more than happy if he can drag Zahabi into punch-for-punch trades and ensure he can draw on his gas tank to pull away late. Add in Turcios’ high-octane grappling and Zahabi’s real flaws emerge.

Result: Zahabi def. Turcios // Decision (UD – 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Winner ❌ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


Antonina Shevchenko vs Cortney Casey

Women’s Flyweight (125)

Antonina Shevchenko (9-4)

Almost a year on from her crushing second-round TKO defeat to Casey O’Neill, Antonina returns to the octagon at the ripe old age of thirty-seven years old. Shevchenko has shown solid improvements on the mat over her last two losses. So much so, that I believe the thoroughly over-the-hill Casey will struggle to out-wrestle her. Moreover, at range, Shevchenko is technically light years ahead.

Cortney Casey (10-9)

Earning a decision victory over Liana Jojua means nothing in the current fight economy. Far too happy to work off her back, an image emerges of Antonina dominating from top position while Casey fruitlessly searches for an armbar. Casey found that very submission against Mara Borella just two years ago, while Antonina was felled by a triangle-armbar against Andrea Lee, yet it would take a planetary alignment for such luck to reoccur.

Predicted Result: Shevchenko Decision

Far too happy to work off her back, an image emerges of Antonina dominating from top position while Casey fruitlessly searches for an armbar. Casey has never set about refining her striking from range, allowing Antonina’s technical prowess to shine on the night. Casey does push a hard pace and may be rewarded on the scorecards for it, yet it feels like Cast Iron will have no answer to the lesser Shevchenko’s takedowns.

Result: Shevchenko def. Casey // Decision (split – 28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


Cody Brundage vs Tresean Gore

Middleweight (185)

Cody Brundage (7-2)

Thrown into the fire early on in his career, Cody Brundage finally seems to be piecing together the puzzle. Incredibly thicc for Middleweight, Brundage may have a technical edge against Gore’s preferred bullying wrestling. That isn’t to say that Brundage is a smart fighter. Nothing is gelling Brundage’s game together. The Colorado fighter eats tons of punishment as he waits for a game plan to click in his head.

Tresean Gore (3-1)

Somehow, someway, Gore may be less effective leading a fight than Brundage. Gore is a physical specimen and is enough of a mystery package to place his ceiling just yet. Owing to Gore making fewer mistakes, Mr Vicious has shown enough ability to keep himself standing against Brundage’s early takedown attempts. Both men are prone to tiring, but Gore’s dynamite hands will make an impact late.

Predicted Result: Gore TKO Round 3

Owing to Gore making fewer mistakes, Mr Vicious has shown enough ability to keep himself standing against Brundage’s early takedown attempts. Both men are prone to tiring, but Gore’s dynamite hands, combined with Brundage’s total lack of striking defence, is a deadly combination.

Result: Brundage def. Gore // KO (punches) Round 1 3:50

Winner ❌ // Method ✔️ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


David Onama vs Garrett Armfield

Featherweight (145)

David Onama (9-1)

A rematch of an amateur match-up in the KC Fighting Alliance 27, in which David Onama secured a unanimous decision. Onama appeared far more physically imposing than Armfield. Worse yet for Armfield, he is unlikely to be able to counter in volume as he did in their first affair. Onama is a slick, powerful puncher and has shown exceptional conditioning and durability against an elite prospect in Mason Jones.

Garrett Armfield (8-2)

Over the COVID lockdown, we saw a lot of late-notice fighters making a splash in their UFC debuts and forging decent career paths. Armfield has already survived the power of David Onama before, granted, a much rougher, draft version of the technical striker today. There’s a lot to like about Armfield’s decision-making on the feet, but there is no shaking the feeling that he will be finished by his former foe.

Predicted Result: Onama TKO Round 1

A rematch of an amateur match-up in the KC Fighting Alliance 27, in which David Onama secured a unanimous decision. It’s unlikely that Armfield will be able to counter in volume as he did in their first affair. Three years on, Onama is a far more refined striker and will finish Armfield if he hurts his former dance partner early.

Result: Onama def. Armfield // Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) Round 2 3:13

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Karl Roberson

Light Heavyweight (205)

Kennedy Nzechukwu (9-3)

Nzechukwu appeared to have fooled a few folks with his brief three-fight streak during 2019-2021. Timid at the start of every fight, Nzechukwu has never looked comfortable dealing with incoming damage. Fresh off dropping a decision to Nick Negumereanu, it’s a long path back for the Nigerian. Nzechukwu carries plus power and is a fluid, natural striker once he has settled – but it is a mental block that may never be overcome.

Karl Roberson (9-5)

Roberson’s recent bloat-up and return to Light Heavyweight was disastrous. Smashed to pieces by Khalil Rountree, there was a potential cutting looming. A jack of all trades, Roberson’s functioning kickboxing is unlikely to offer much against far more physically imposing 205lbers. Grappling has to be the central focus of Baby K’s game, yet Roberson has never been a relentless (or massively successful) wrestler.

Predicted Result: Nzechukwu TKO Round 2

A jack of all trades, Roberson’s functioning kickboxing is unlikely to offer much against far more physically imposing 205lbers. Grappling likely has to be the central focus of Baby K’s game, yet Roberson has never been a relentless (or massively successful) wrestler. Nzechukwu’s issues are all mental, unwilling to open up in the face of incoming damage. Against one of the smaller Light Heavyweights, the Nigerian’s power will make a difference.

Result: Nzechukwu def. Roberson // TKO (elbows) Round 3 2:19

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Ronnie Lawrence vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov

Bantamweight (135)

Ronnie Lawrence (8-1)

This has all the trimmings of an entertaining bout. Lawrence doesn’t have much of a highlight reel to boast about, yet The Heat is a thoroughly solid fighter. Lawrence’s boxing still lacks many fundamentals, but the American’s slick array of kicks is usually enough of a threat. A pressure wrestling base may well break Saidyokub Kakhrahmonov, as the Uzbeki prospect has been outwrestled in the past.

Saidyokub Kakhrahmonov (9-2)

A far more entertaining prospect for the UFC to push, Saidyokub Kakhrahmonov secured a late guillotine choke finish over Trevin Jones upon his debut. The Uzbeki slugger is capable of heavy flurries in the pocket. Slick single-legs off extended combinations are a bright spark of Kakhramonov’s game. Jones did control Kakhrahmonov on the mat for significant periods, but it matters for nought if you can pull out a last-gasp finish.

Predicted Result: Lawrence Decision

This has all the trimmings of an entertaining bout. Lawrence’s boxing still lacks many fundamentals, but the American’s slick array of kicks is usually enough of a threat. A pressure wrestling base may well break Saidyokub Kakhrahmonov considering Trevin Jones controlled the Uzbeki prospect has been outwrestled in the past. Lawrence can take a pasting on his way to the takedown, however.

Result: Kakhrahmonov def. Lawrence // Decision (UD – 30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Winner ❌ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


Prediction Accuracy

UFC Vegas 58

Winner: 6/11

Method: 7/11

Round: 4/11

2022 MMA Season

Winner: 175/276

Method: 136/276

Round: 118/276

MMA Overall

Winner: 671/1068

Method: 458/1068

Round: 442/1068

Takeaway comments: Fiziev a beast or a product of fortunate match-making?


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