UFC Vegas 47 Predictions, Odds and Results: Hermansson vs Strickland

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UFC Vegas 47 Predictions, Odds and Results: Hermansson vs Strickland

Pintsized Background

Prepare for a rapid run-through of the UFC Vegas 47 fight card – a surprisingly tasty card in terms of action, yet a little less rich of meaning in the divisions. To be honest, the presence of Sam Alvey makes me want to engage on a whistle-stop tour.

Where/When is UFC Vegas 47 taking place:
February 5, 2022. UFC Apex. Nevada, United States.

What time does UFC Vegas 47 start:
🇬🇧 UK: 9pm / 🇺🇸 US ET: 4pm

What channel is UFC Vegas 47 on:
🇬🇧 UK: BT Sports / 🇺🇸 US: ESPN+

Pintsized content from the week before:
🚀 Preview: UFC 270 Predictions, Odds and Results: N’Gannou vs Gane
📊 Statistics: MMA Predictions Results: January 2022
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🥊 PI’s Recommended Fight: Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo III

Whichever sicko asked for it, well... we have another Sam Alvey fight | UFC Vegas 47 Predictions
Whichever sicko asked for it, well… we have another Sam Alvey fight

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UFC Vegas 47: Main Event

Jack Hermansson vs Sean Strickland

Middleweight (185)

Jack Hermansson (22-6)

Scandanavian submission nightmare, Jack Hermansson, is at risk of finding himself falling into a ‘gatekeeper’ type role in the Middleweight division. There was a time when Hermansson was riding a four-fight streak, having just shut-out Jacare Souza. A Jared Cannonier arse-whooping, then a resulting win/lose streak has left Hermansson well out of the limelight.

It isn’t fair to toss Hermansson aside and believe he couldn’t piece it together to climb towards a title shot. Even at thirty-three, Hermansson has the tools to conquer most in such a slim talent pool. Even with a long, powerful jab, Hermansson can often get flustered against pressure strikers. Using volume to dictate range, the Swede attempts to keep opponents gun-shy under a barrage of flurries. More likely is that Strickland will make Hermansson extremely uncomfortable on the feet, with Tarzan surely winning the jabbing war.

Therefore, can Hermansson survive on the feet and out-wrestle Strickland? Despite representing one of the better grapplers in Middleweight, Hermansson isn’t the most efficient takedown artist. Combined with Strickland’s 82% TDD, including a wonderful defensive performance to stuff several Kamaru Usman takedowns back in 2017, Hermansson’s chances start to look slight. A granite chin and deep-ish gas tank could see Hermansson find an opening during the championship rounds.

Sean Strickland (24-3)

Love him or hate him, Strickland has continued to deliver upon his return. A fantastic defensive wrestler, Strickland is primed to engage Hermansson in a solely striking match. If Tarzan is destined for a title shot, he needs to handily beat the Swede on the feet. Owning the sharper jab, heavier hands and fluid combination creation on the fly, Strickland can expose Hermansson’s fears on the feet.

Of course, Strickland’s wrestling isn’t anything to turn your nose up at. Brendan Allen and Court McGee were both victims to Strickland’s offensive wrestling and top control, however, it would be unlikely to see Strickland allow an avenue for Hermansson to thrive. Keeping the fight standing will surely be Strickland’s key game plan.

There is a worry that Strickland could gas himself out in certain fights. Carrying the extra weight at Middleweight, Strickland has yet to fight an opponent at an uncomfortable pace. If Hermansson sets the tone early, as unlikely as it may seem, a drop in Strickland’s pace could see the Swede find a route to the mat. Unlikely, but food for thought.

Predicted Result: Strickland Decision

A fantastic defensive wrestler, Strickland is primed to engage Hermansson in a solely striking match. Even with a long, powerful jab, Hermansson can often get flustered against pressure strikers. Using volume to dictate range, the Swede attempts to keep opponents gun-shy under a barrage of flurries. Strickland, owning the heavier hands and cleaner technicals, should be able to bully Hermansson from the opening bell.

Despite representing one of the better grapplers in Middleweight, Hermansson will struggle to get Strickland to the mat. Sure, it was Welterweight, but Strickland restricted Kamaru Usman to just 2 of 8 takedowns back in 2017. The only potential is if Hermansson sets an uncomfortable pace early and tests Strickland’s gas tank at Middleweight. Unlikely, but food for thought.

Result: Strickland def. Hermansson // Decision (split – 47-48, 49-46, 49-46)

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Is Sean Strickland destined for Middleweight royalty? | UFC Vegas 47 Predictions
Is Sean Strickland destined for Middleweight royalty?

Return to Fight Card


UFC Vegas 47: Co-Main Event

Punahele Soriano vs Nick Maximov

Middleweight (185)

Punahele Soriano (8-1)

Just how much will the defeat last time out change up Punahele Soriano’s approach in the cage? The first-round knockout artist finally met an opponent unwilling to fall over at the first sign of danger. Gassing himself against a fairly tender pace from Brendan Allen, the fight explained Soriano’s lightning-fast starts and finishes – it is a necessity. The loss, however, highlighted a phenomenal chin. There aren’t many unranked opponents who can handle the Hawaiian’s heat.

Nick Maximov (7-0)

Takedown machine, Nick Maximov, requires a huge step-up to survive with his consciousness intact. If Maximov can escape the first-round unscathed, the Oregon native could pin a tiring Soriano to the mat with ease. Unfortunately for Maximov, Soriano only requires one exchange on the feet to switch off the lights. Despite the stylistic nightmare for Soriano, it is still too difficult to overlook his nuclear power.

Predicted Result: Soriano TKO Round 1

Takedown machine, Nick Maximov, requires a huge step-up to survive with his consciousness intact. If Maximov can escape the first-round unscathed, the Oregon native could pin a tiring Soriano to the mat with ease. More likely, however, Soriano returns to his first-round knockout artistry.

Result: Maximov def. Soriano // Decision (split – 28-29, 29-28, 30-27)

Winner ❌ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Sean Soriano brings the heat boiii | UFC Vegas 47 Predictions
Sean Soriano brings the heat boiii

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UFC Vegas 47: Main Card

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Carlston Harris

Welterweight (170)

Shavkat Rakhmonov (14-0)

I’m still not sold on Shavkat Rakhmonov, even with the ridiculous finish streak that the Kazakhstani finds himself on. Dominant victories over Alex Oliveira and Michel Prazeres will get the fans riled up to be fair. The looming powerhouse is stiff on the feet at times but is often bailed out by a surprising pack to his punch. More importantly, Rakhmonov’s complete control in the clinch has proven the real money maker. A fine chin also serves to bail out Rakhmonov’s defensive deficiencies.

Carlston Harris (17-4)

An incredibly unorthodox striker due to his natural reach and length. Despite consistent wild aggression, Harris has made it work throughout his career by being a troublesome nuisance. Crushing Christian Aguilera and Impa Kasanganay in his introduction to the UFC, Harris is a huge threat to the UFC’s next potential cash cow. Harris’ superb work from the body lock is intriguing, considering Oliveira’s success in controlling Rakhmonov for periods of their fight. Aggression and liberal risk-taking are likely to see Harris find himself walking on to a finish earlier than Rakhmonov’s chin being broken.

Predicted Result: Rakhmonov Submission Round 3

Carlston Harris is a huge threat considering his unorthodox striking, natural length and wild aggression – but his many flaws will allow Rakhmonov to slowly adapt to the fight. Harris’ superb work from the body lock is intriguing, considering Oliveira’s success in controlling Rakhmonov for periods of their fight. More likely, however, is that Harris’ aggression and liberal risk-taking see him walking on to a finish earlier than Rakhmonov’s chin being broken.

Result: Rakhmonov def. Harris // KO (spinning hook kick and punches) Round 1 4:10

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Sam Alvey vs Brendan Allen

Middleweight (205)

Sam Alvey (33-16-1)

Hahaha. Jeremy Stephens gets cut, but not Sam Alvey? What constitutes the ‘line’ in which the UFC decides to release a fighter? Anyway, Smilin’ Sam is most recently coming off a split decision loss to Wellington Turman. Low output, defensively savvy-ish, Alvey allows himself to drop every round while searching to land one shot from his powerful left hand. Brendan Allen has shown a tendency to gas himself out and a breakable chin that this could be Alvey’s time to shin (lol).

Brendan Allen (17-5)

Taking the fight on just a couple of days notice, a loss wouldn’t be as much of a career-ender as it would look on paper. Allen’s conditioning issues are worrisome considering Alvey’s game is designed around landing one big single shot. Allen’s clear grappling advantage will struggle to shine as Alvey has shown a frustrating ability to keep himself standing, leaving Allen to his voluminous striking that torches what little he has in the gas tank. I can’t ever pick Alvey to win a fight at this stage, but if Smilin’ were ever to break his slide, this is the perfect last-minute opponent.

Predicted Result: Allen Decision

Low output, defensively savvy-ish, Sam Alvey allows himself to drop every round while searching to land one shot from his powerful left hand. Allen’s clear grappling advantage will struggle to shine as Alvey has shown a frustrating ability to keep himself standing, leaving Allen to his voluminous striking that torches what little he has in the gas tank. I can’t ever pick Alvey to win a fight at this stage, but if Smilin’ were ever to break his slide, this is the perfect last-minute opponent.

Result: Allen def. Alvey // Submission (rear-naked choke) Round 2 2:10

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Bryan Battle vs Tresean Gore

Middleweight (185)

Bryan Battle (6-1)

Representing the far more experienced operator, Battle isn’t going to deliver a viral highlight reel anytime soon. Pooh Bear tends to stick to opponents, forgoing defence, and searches for a way to get to an opponents neck. Such a style against Gore’s lights-out power is a worry, but the edge in experience and volume should allow Battle to shine in periods of inactivity.

Tresean Gore (3-0)

A TUF match-up several months later, this is the calibre of fight that shouldn’t be featured on a UFC card. Gore is a plus-athlete who shocked the odds when he stopped Gilbert Urbina in the semi-finals. The pieces of a solid striking game are clear, yet it often feels forced – explained by Gore’s inexperience in the professional ranks. A fantastic chin and an opponent willing to eat shots are a decent combination for Gore to claim the scorecards.

Predicted Result: Battle Submission Round 3

A TUF match-up several months later, this is the calibre of fight that shouldn’t be featured on a UFC card. A fantastic chin and an opponent willing to eat shots are a decent combination for Gore to claim the scorecards. The edge in experience and activity is too deep to overlook Battle overcoming early adversity.

Result: Battle def. Gore // Decision (UD – 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Julian Erosa vs Steven Peterson

Featherweight (145)

Julian Erosa (26-9)

Julian Erosa is a fun fighter to watch despite his flaws. A brawler who thrives in a war within the pocket, Stephen Peterson will deliver a FOTN scenario directly to Erosa. Under the covers, Erosa has been sharpening his technical tools (gauging distance earlier, timing sharper counters) but the powerful front-foot aggression remains Erosa’s selling point. A plethora of chokes on the ground keep Erosa’s opponents standing longer than necessary.

Steven Peterson (19-9)

A slight career resurgence against Martin Bravo and Chase Hooper has been warming to see for the hard-nosed veteran, yet it isn’t sustainable. Peterson’s chin is slowly showing the miles of a long, punishing career and could unravel under the heat of Erosa’s hands. Even with an increasingly patient approach on the feet, Peterson lacks the defensive subtleties to overcome Erosa’s speed differential or react to unorthodox shots.

Predicted Result: Erosa Decision

If everything goes to plan, Erosa and Peterson should provide a war in the pocket and FOTN bonuses for both men. Under the covers, Erosa has been sharpening his technical tools (gauging distance earlier, timing sharper counters) but the powerful front-foot aggression remains Erosa’s selling point. Peterson’s chin is slowly showing the miles of a long, punishing career and could unravel under the heat of Erosa’s hands, but the career durability is still too sticky to overlook.

Result: Erosa def. Peterson // Decision (split – 28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


UFC Vegas 47 Predictions: Preliminary Card

Hakeem Dawodu vs Mike Trizano

Featherweight (145)

Hakeem Dawodu (12-2-1)

Man, has the Canadian fallen out of favour since his debut back in 2018. A thoroughly underwhelming decision loss to Movsar Evloev has left Dawodu teetering towards a gatekeeper role. It would be a shame to see the UFC cut the striking scholar, however. Dawodu’s masterful distance control and timing offer a sharp, natural counter-puncher – but the pieces just haven’t fallen into place enough times over the past few years.

Mike Trizano (9-1)

Mike Trizano wasn’t expected to present anything other than a live body in his UFC return against L’udovit Klein. Instead, Trizano showcased a fantastic pressuring performance behind a strong jab. While Trizano could replicate Evloev’s success behind a wrestling heavy gameplan, Trizano lacks the Russian’s explosive burst to punish Dawodo’s flakey TDD. If this ends up a clean striking affair, there will be only one winner.

Predicted Result: Dawodu Decision

Dawodu’s masterful distance control and timing offer a sharp, natural counter-puncher – but the pieces just haven’t fallen into place enough times over the past few years in a ‘highlight reel’ package. While Trizano could replicate Evloev’s success behind a wrestling heavy gameplan, Trizano lacks the Russian’s explosive burst to punish Dawodo’s flakey TDD. Trizano’s pressure kickboxing is functional, but Dawodu has dealt with a solid jab before.

Result: Dawodu def. Trizano // Decision (UD – 30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


Marc-Andre Barriault vs Chidi Njokuani

Middleweight (185)

Marc-Andre Barriault (13-4)

Barriault is not an entertaining fighter to watch. An ugly striker who bites down on the gumshield and brawls into clinching range, his freakish durability and strength keep him in fights. Njokuani is unlikely to have the power or fleet footwork to keep Barriault off him, allowing the Canadian to tie him to the cage or mat.

Chidi Njokuani (20-7)

Career promotion traveller, Chidi Njokuani, has a style that limits punishment. Regular teep kicks keep opponents just outside of the danger range, but Barriault is a cannonball who will more than happily walk through Njokuani’s single-shots. This could well be a terrible stylistic fight in regards to entertainment. A risk-taking brawler against a tentative, patient, risk-averse veteran.

Predicted Result: Barriault Decision

This could well be a terrible stylistic fight in regards to entertainment. A risk-taking brawler against a tentative, patient, risk-averse veteran. Njokuani is unlikely to have the power or fleet footwork to keep Barriault off him, allowing the Canadian to tie him to the cage or mat.

Result: Njokuani def. Barriault // KO (punches) Round 1 0:16

Winner ❌ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Alexis Davis vs Julija Soliarenko

Women’s Bantamweight (135)

Alexis Davis (20-11)

Alexis Davis has aged fairly gracefully, in part due to the poor nature of the division, but also because of a transition to a striking-focused approach. The Canadian was never an athletic specimen back in her prime, but instead, Davis has succeeded off the back of smart decision-making. Short boxing combinations, regular low kicks and a sticky top game are designed to consistently deliver decision victories.

Julija Stoliarenko (9-5-1)

The Lithuanian is extremely durable, considering her total lack of striking defence, yet Stoliarenko remains an armbar merchant. Stoliarenko exhibited a surprising pop to her punches against Julia Avila, but the inexperience and lop-sided grappling skillset will not fare well against a savvy veteran.

Predicted Result: Davis Decision

Alexis Davis has aged fairly gracefully, in part due to the poor nature of the division, but also because of a transition to a striking-focused approach. Short boxing combinations, regular low kicks and a sticky top game are designed to consistently deliver decision victories – especially against armbar merchants such as Stoliarenko.

Result: Davis def. Stoliarenko // Decision (UD – 29-27 29-27, 30-27)

Winner ✔️ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


Danilo Marques vs Jailton Almeida

Light Heavyweight (205)

Danilo Marques (11-3)

Marques is a powerful grappler and submission artist with surprisingly natural ability on the feet, but the Brazilian struggles to last beyond the first round. Worse yet, if Marques isn’t allowed to set the pace, the gas tank falls apart even earlier. If Almeida offers up his back at any point, a likely scenario considering Marques’ wonderful trips in the clinch, the finish will be knocking on the door.

Jailton Almeida (14-2)

Marques will have to finish this fight early as Almeida represents a similarly potent submission threat. While Almeida can handle himself on the feet, perhaps representing the more educated work, the Brazilian will struggle to get on the inside of Marques’ range. A lack of striking confidence on Marques’ part, however, will see the fight eventually tumble to the mat from where Almeida is the strong favourite outside of the first round.

Predicted Result: Almeida Submission Round 2

Marques is a powerful grappler and submission artist with surprisingly natural ability on the feet, but the Brazilian struggles to last beyond the first round. Both submission specialists are ‘okay’ on the feet, with Marques’ range likely edging the two, but it will be a coin flip on the mat in the first round. If Almeida can keep Marques off his back, the thirty-year-old should be able to impress in his UFC debut.

Result: Almeida def. Marques // TKO (punches) Round 1 2:57

Winner ✔️ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Jason Witt vs Philip Rowe

Welterweight (170)

Jason Witt (19-7)

Opponent’s need to knock Jason Witt out or he will dig deep to wrestle-box his way to a decision. Witt’s victory over Bryan Barberena was extremely scrappy, yet Witt’s controlling grappling once again shone through. Athletically, there isn’t much to write home about, explaining the lack of fanfare attached to the veteran’s name.

Philip Rowe (8-3)

Rowe’s freakish 80.5″ reach combines with solid striking and surprisingly functional wrestling to the extent that ‘The Fresh Prince’ deserves a tiny slice of hype behind his name. A freakish volume will keep Witt on the outside during the opening segments of each round, but Witt’s superiority on the mat should eventually tip the scales. Rowe isn’t a one-shot KO machine but instead grinds opponents down with successive barrages – not ideal against a stronger wrestler.

Predicted Result: Witt Decision

Rowe’s freakish 80.5″ reach combines with solid striking and surprisingly functional wrestling to the extent that ‘The Fresh Prince’ deserves a tiny slice of hype behind his name. Unfortunately, Rowe isn’t a one-shot KO machine, but instead grinds opponents down with successive barrages – not ideal against a stronger wrestler.

Result: Rowe def. Witt // TKO (punches) Round 2 2:15

Winner ❌ // Method ❌ // Round ❌

Return to Fight Card


Malcolm Gordon vs Denys Bondar

Flyweight (125)

Malcolm Gordon (13-5)

Gordon is an entertaining, well-rounded fighter whose main issue lies in his chin. Granted, Gordon revealed a consistent performance against Francisco Figueiredo, but Deiveison’s brother was hotly overrated for his family name in hindsight. Against another aggressive opponent, Gordon lacks the power to keep Bondar off his hips or defensive grappling to escape the Ukranian’s ground and pound.

Denys Bondar (16-3)

Denys Bondar, the owner of the scariest Tapology profile picture, has taken his sweet time to make his UFC debut. Regular injuries throughout 2021 are a frustration rather than a worry, however, and the submission beast should be able to make a splash on a throwaway Fight Night card. Granted, much of Bondar’s success has come against less than reputable opponents, but his athletic prowess remains clear as day.

Predicted Result: Bondar TKO Round 1

Gordon is an entertaining, well-rounded fighter whose main issue lies in his chin. Against another aggressive opponent, Gordon lacks the power to keep Bondar off his hips or defensive grappling to escape the Ukranian’s ground and pound. Granted, much of Bondar’s success has come against less than reputable opponents, but his athletic prowess remains clear as day.

Result: Gordon def. Bondar // TKO (arm injury) Round 1 1:22

Winner ❌ // Method ✔️ // Round ✔️

Return to Fight Card


Prediction Accuracy

UFC Vegas 47

Winner: 8/12

Method: 5/12

Round: 5/12

2022 MMA Season

Winner: 24/32

Method: 14/32

Round: 15/32

MMA Overall

Winner: 520/824

Method: 377/824

Round: 340/824

Takeaway comments: Okay… maybe I can buy into Rakhmonov a little now.


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