UFC Austin Predictions, Odds and Results: Kattar vs Emmett
Pintsized Background
The UFC returns to Austin, Texas this Saturday with an incredibly intriguing main event. Can the long, technical boxing of Calvin Kattar keep the immense power of Josh Emmett on the end of his jab? Additionally, Joe Lauzon and Donald Cerrone lock horns in the co-main that would ideally be a double-feature swansong after two equally long and arduous careers.
Where/When is UFC Austin taking place:
June 18, 2022. Moody Center. Texas, United States.
What time does UFC Austin start:
π¬π§ UK: 9pm / πΊπΈ US ET: 4pm
What channel is UFC Austin on:
π¬π§ UK: BT Sports / πΊπΈ US: ESPN+
Pintsized MMA content from the week before:
- π Preview: UFC 275 Predictions: Teixeira vs Prochazka
- π₯ PIβs Recommended Fight: Glover Teixeira vs Jiri Prochazka
Travel down the Pintsized rabbit hole:
- π Statistics: MMA Predictions Results: January 2022
- πΊ YouTube: Pintsized Channel

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UFC Austin Picks & Odds
UFC Austin Fights & Odds | Winner | Method | Round |
---|---|---|---|
C. Kattar (-235) J. Emmett (+190) | Kattar | TKO | 4 |
D. Cerrone (-160) J. Lauzon (+140) | Cerrone | TKO | 3 |
K. Holland (-275) T. Means (+220) | Holland | Decision | / |
A. Duraev (-220) J. Buckley (+180) | Buckley | TKO | 1 |
D. Ismagulov (-155) G. Kutateladze (+135) | Ismagulov | Decision | / |
G. Rodrigues (-170) J. Marques (+150) | Marques | Decision | / |
A. Yanez (-320) T. Kelley (+250) | Yanez | TKO | 3 |
J. Jasudavicius (-240) N. Silva (+195) | Jasudavicius | Decision | / |
C. McGee (-120) J. Wells (+100) | McGee | Decision | / |
D. Chavez (+235) R. Ramos (-300) | Ramos | Decision | / |
GD. Paula (-265) Maria Oliveira (+215) | De Paula | Decision | / |
UFC Austin: Main Event
Calvin Kattar vs Josh Emmett
Featherweight (145)
Calvin Kattar (23-5)
For all the talk about Josh Emmettβs nuclear power in the build-up to the main event, many are overlooking the Bostonianβs fabulous chin. Chikadze, Stephens and Burgos all ran out of gas trying to break Kattar physically or mentally. If you canβt finish Kattar, youβre gonna have to maintain an exceptional volume.
More worrying for Team Alpha Male fans, fans seem to have forgotten the true story of Michael Johnson vs Josh Emmett. For nigh-three rounds, an over-the-hill Johnson laid down a striking clinic (until he was slept by that punch). Kattar will be able to set the pace with his jab and consistently lead the exchanges.
Emmettβs wrestling could throw a spanner in the work. Unfortunately, Emmettβs zero attempted takedowns most recently against Dan Ige is a worrying sign of a fighter who has fallen in love with his hands. It also doesnβt help that Emmett nailed eight takedowns against Scott Holtzman that has skewed his wrestling stats since.
Josh Emmett (17-2)
Emmett can certainly handle himself on the feet. While the thirty-seven-year-old doesnβt have the technical offensive nuance that Kattar offers, there are still interesting layers to Emmettβs striking. Re-watch the Johnson KO. After fourteen minutes of receiving a spanking, Emmett had the patience to fake a takedown before catching Johnson as he slipped to the right.
Volume just seems to be the killer in this fight. That isnβt to say that Emmett is at risk of gassing β for a fighter nearing his forties, his conditioning is impeccable. Rather, Kattar typically opens and closes exchanges. Emmett has never shown slick enough counterpunching chops to commit and punish Kattar in 50/50 trades.
Call me Mystic Pint, but I foresee Kattar getting to work with leg kicks early. Emmettβs knee injury was a weak spot that Burgos failed to capitalise upon. With such consistent danger aimed at Emmettβs head, the Bostonian can mask leg kicks early that will pay dividends in the championship rounds.
Predicted Result: Kattar TKO Round 4
Call me Mystic Pint, but I foresee Kattar getting to work with leg kicks early. Emmettβs knee injury was a weak spot that Shane Burgos failed to capitalise upon. With such consistent danger aimed at Emmettβs head, the Bostonian can mask leg kicks early that will pay dividends in the championship rounds.
You can never quite count out Josh Emmettβs power. Yet, it is worrisome that Chikadze, Stephens and Burgos all ran out of gas trying to break Kattar. If you canβt finish Kattar, youβre gonna have to maintain an exceptional volume over five rounds. There is more nuance to Emmettβs striking than powerful overhands, but with a stripped-down wrestling threat over recent fights, it feels like Kattar is primed to out-work an ageing opponent.
Result: Emmett def. Kattar // Decision (split β 47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
Winner β // Method β // Round β

UFC Austin: Co-Main Event
Donald Cerrone vs Joe Lauzon
Lightweight (155)
Donald Cerrone (36-16)
Cerroneβs first-round dismantling at the hands of Alex Morono was very worrying. Granted, Cowboy has never been a fast starter, but he is increasingly incapable of building momentum. Lauzon is an early-round threat that continues to carry power, indicating that Cerrone could well be iced in the first round for the third time in six fights. Unable to match the pace of opponents, Cerrone lacks the threat of his famous kicks. Still, there remains a high level of TDD and criminally underrated grappling skillset in his game.
Joe Lauzon (28-15)
J-Lau remains a coin-flip fighter in his twilight. Capable of flying out of the blocks and taking an opponentβs head off, Lauzonβs chin has also deteriorated to a worrying extent that 50/50 exchanges arenβt always the best option. Cerrone hates early pressure, a weakness that Lauzonβs aggressive blitzes will surely exploit. Itβs been nearly 3 years since weβve seen Lauzon in the octagon, however, and I dread to gauge the physical decline.
Predicted Result: Cerrone TKO Round 3
Lauzon for the first-round KO has to be the safest call. Despite my brain screaming at my foolishness, I cannot look past Lauzonβs total chin deterioration, inactivity or βcrampsβ before the ceremonial weigh-in. Style-wise, Cerroneβs slow starts and Lauzonβs all-out aggression suggest an early night for Cowboy. For whatever reason, I sense that Cerroneβs wrestling and TDD could throw a spanner in the works and buy enough time for the veteran to make the necessary reads.
Result: π« FIGHT CANCELLED (Lauzon Knee Injury) π«

UFC Austin: Main Card
Tim Means vs Kevin Holland
Welterweight (170)
Tim Means (32-12-1)
Dirty Bird is one of the most exciting veterans on the roster. Donβt be fooled by a three-fight decision streak, Means has comfortably out-struck his opponents on the outside and cut up opponents with brutal elbows in the clinch. As a savvy vet, Means could find early success if Holland starts as inpatient as he did against Oliveira. Means fully knows his pace and has patched over his waning durability with increased emphasis on his straight shots.
Kevin Holland (22-7)
Weβre unlikely to see Kevin Holland get ragdolled in the clinch. Hollandβs ground game may be questionable, but his long limbs make him a constant nuisance grappling on the feet. A thoroughly accurate counter-puncher, Hollandβs athletic edge will lend itself to superiority on the outside. Means could tie up Holland against the cage and offer enough to scrape the rounds, but it is just as likely that Holland wobbles Means.
Predicted Result: Holland Decision
As a savvy vet, Means could find early success if Holland starts as inpatient as he did against Oliveira. Means fully knows his pace and has patched over his waning durability with increased emphasis on his straight shots. Unfortunately for Means, Hollandβs athletic edge will lend itself to sharp counter punches. Sure, de. Means could tie up Holland against the cage and offer enough to scrape the rounds, but it is just as likely that Holland wobbles Means.
Result: Holland def. Means // Submission (DβArce choke) Round 2 1:28
Winner βοΈ // Method β // Round β
Joaquin Buckley vs Albert Duraev
Middleweight (185)
Joaquin Buckley (14-4)
After dropping the KO of the year in 2020, Joaquin Buckley has barely fought. It may seem harsh as New Mansa has accrued a 3-1 record since destroying Impa Kasanganay, but a lack of mic skills has coupled with the UFC hoping one viral clip carries Buckley to a house-brand name. Has the UFC finally given up with striker-vs-striker favourable match-ups for Buckley? More likely, Duraevβs wrestling was worrisome at best in his debut, while his striking is laughable.
Albert Duraev (15-3)
It would be foolish to write off Duraev claiming an early submission. Buckleyβs TDD has holes and the Americanβs tendency to throw full-blooded each shot often leaves him open to takedowns. Still, even with Buckleyβs one-note speed, Duraev is too hittable not to suffer before getting this to the mat.
Predicted Result: Buckley TKO Round 1
It would be foolish to write off Duraev claiming an early submission. Buckleyβs TDD has holes and the Americanβs tendency to throw full-blooded each shot often leaves him open to takedowns. Still, even with Buckleyβs one-note speed, Duraev is too hittable not to suffer before getting this to the mat. A fun match-up regardless.
Result: Buckley def. Duraev // TKO (doctor stoppage) Round 2 5:00
Winner βοΈ // Method βοΈ // Round β
Damir Ismagulov vs Guram Kutateladze
Lightweight (155)
Damir Ismagulov (23-1)
Now weβre talking about a hell of a decision fighter with Ismagulov sitting on a 7-fight decision streak (bar one TKO injury). In all fairness to the Kazakh fighter, he has faced some stern tests in the UFC so far, sitting on the scalps of Joel Alvarez and Thiago Moises. A fabulous decision-maker, it seems to have been a double-edged sword as Ismagulov rarely risks searching for a finish. Why bother when you possess a great jab in a sport that often ignores the most important foundation block?
Guram Kutateladze (12-2)
Kutateladze managed to neutralise the extremely well-rounded skillset of Mateusz Gamrot on late notice. Slick defensive grappling on the mat indicates that Kutateladze could succeed at Lightweight. Still, the Georgianβs mobility seems incapable of maintaining the necessary distance from Ismagulovβs wrestling threat.
Predicted Result: Ismagulov Decision
A fabulous decision-maker, it seems to have been a double-edged sword as Ismagulov rarely risks searching for a finish. Why bother when you possess a fantastic jab, though? Kutateladze managed to neutralise the extremely well-rounded skillset of Mateusz Gamrot on late notice, but there wasnβt much evidenced in the way of aggression or offensive tools.
Result: Ismagulov def. Kutateladze // Decision (split β 28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
Winner βοΈ // Method βοΈ // Round βοΈ
Julian Marquez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Middleweight (185)
Julian Marquez (9-2)
If it ainβt the Cuban Missle Crisis. The same man who single-handedly fumbled the bag with Miley Cyrus. Mid-2021, it seemed like Marquez was set for mega hype as he continued his long finishing streak. Heavy-handed, Marques is a work in progress regarding technicals on the feet, but his short reach lends itself to his aggressive brawling on the inside anyway. Someone will punish Marquezβs naked chin, whether Rodrigues owns fast enough hands to punish it is questionable.
Gregory Rodrigues (11-4)
I like Robocop but we have seen the Brazilian lose early or gas late. Rodrigues could certainly hit reactive takedowns and hold position to stall out the opening rounds, but he seems incapable of fighting the final round with anything but 5% left in the gas tank. I ainβt picking against my boy, though.
Predicted Result: Marques Decision
I like Robocop but we have seen the Brazilian lose early or gas late. Rodrigues could certainly hit reactive takedowns and hold position to stall out the opening rounds, but he also did just drop a split decision to Armen Petrosyan. Marques is a work in progress regarding technicals on the feet, but his short reach lends itself to his aggressive brawling on the inside.
Result: Rodrigues def. Marquez // KO (punches) Round 1 3:18
Winner β // Method β // Round β
UFC Austin: Preliminary Card
Adrian Yanez vs Tony Kelley
Bantamweight (135)
Adrian Yanez (15-3)
Decision split or not, Davey Grant is a tough nut to crack and by far the most impressive name on Yanezβs record. The Texan was pushed to an unnaturally high pace, with the extra volume sapping some of the cleaner boxing work that we have come to expect of the prospect. Thereβs no doubting Yanezβs power or his insane bodywork, but I imagine itβll be a while before we see him face a jabber again, after struggling so hard early against Randy Costa.
Tony Kelley (8-2)
Being racist about an opponent? Majority of fans largely silent. Missing weight? Oh, bucko, youβve messed up now. Kelley thoroughly dominated Randy Costa from the get-go, not allowing the first-round knockout menace to get out of the blocks. Stalling grappling on the feet belies his entertaining high-risk submission game in the scrambles. Oh yeah, I almost forgot, this is the same dude that drove across a country during the pandemic rather than wear a mask for a flight.
Predicted Result: Yanez TKO Round 3
Kelley thoroughly dominated Randy Costa from the get-go, not allowing the first-round knockout menace to get out of the blocks. Yanezβs mature counter-striking and patience under aggression, however, seem primed to take out Kelleyβs pace. Yanez can be thrown off his game by superior length, but Kelley doesnβt own an effective enough jab to make Yanez uncomfortable.
Result: Yanez def. Kelley // TKO (punches) Round 1 3:49
Winner βοΈ // Method βοΈ // Round β
Jeremiah Wells vs Court McGee
Welterweight (170)
Jeremiah Wells (10-2-1)
Two fights into his UFC career, and the jury is not yet out on Jeremiah Wells. Filling in an ancient Warlley Alves does wonders for the highlight reel, but a similarly early submission over the unknown Blood Diamond does just as little for meaningful analysis. Preferring power over volume, Wells has to be backing his natural gifts to carry him on a whistle-stop UFC tour. Donβt forget, this is a thirty-five-year-old spring chicken.
Court McGee (21-10)
Watching Court McGeeβs mini redemption arc has been a joy to watch. The thirty-seven-year-old knows what his game is and sets about his work with rare consistent integrity. Wells will have to carry serious power if he wants to send The Crusher to sleep. There is no doubt that McGee will come on strong in the final round. For the opening two, Iβm siding with McGee to break Wells with never-ending volume or takedown attempts.
Predicted Result: McGee Decision
McGeeβs veteran pressure, built upon volume and relentless takedown attempts, is a threat that Wells has yet to face in his career. Wells will have to carry serious power if he wants to send The Crusher to sleep. Unless Father Time has finally put McGee under his spell, this is the type of fight designed for McGee to clean the scorecards.
Result: Wells def. McGee // KO (punch) Round 1 1:34
Winner β // Method β // Round β
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Natalie Silva
Womenβs Flyweight (125)
Jasmine Jasudavicius (7-1)
Jasudavicius, for all the concerns I had over her debut, managed to comfortably banish Kay Hansen to Only Fans. A huge frame for Flyweight, Jasudavicius is a beast in the clinch and can comfortably bully opponents into top position. Her striking was surprisingly crisp too, though it would be nice to see her use her length more effectively.
Natalie Silva (12-5-1)
Natalie Silva doesnβt appear to have the skillset needed to overcome Jasudavicius. The Brazilian prefers a physical fight, using her natural size to strong-arm her way to the mat. As is the case with most Womenβs Brazilian fighters transitioning from regionals to the UFC, Silvaβs record is padded with cans. Jasudaviciusβ sole win in the UFC towers over the twelve wins that Silva has amassed.
Predicted Result: Jasudavicius Decision
A huge frame for Flyweight, Jasudavicius is a beast in the clinch and can comfortably bully opponents into top position. I was concerned about the Canadianβs striking before her debut, but her hands were surprisingly crisp en route to banishing Kay Hansen to Only Fans. Silvaβs preferred style of physically bullying opponents will run into trouble against a naturally larger fighter.
Result: Silva def. Jasudavicius // Decision (UD β 30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
Winner β // Method βοΈ // Round βοΈ
Gloria de Paula vs Maria Oliveira
Womenβs Strawweight (115)
Gloria de Paula (6-4)
Athletically gifted, de Paula is an alright striker. Iβm struggling to flow with praise for the inexperienced scrapper. Going striker for strike with Diana Belbita is a truly worrying sign, but at least thereβs a level of defence to de Paulaβs game.
Maria Oliveira (12-5)
Spider Girl may have the higher ceiling yet has been unfortunate not to find a middling step-up in her career. It has either been a Marina Rodriguez icing or a string of cans. If Oliveira cannot use her reach to dominate the range, Spider Girl is a far more unnatural striker and unravel when she whiffs at the air.
Predicted Result: De Paula Decision
Going striker for strike with Diana Belbita is a truly worrying sign, but at least thereβs a level of defence to de Paulaβs game. Oliveira, on the flip side, has to dominate the range with her reach or else she will unravel. A coin-flip between two inexperienced strikers.
Result: Oliveira def. de Paula // Decision (split β 28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
Winner β // Method βοΈ // Round βοΈ
Danny Chavez vs Ricardo Ramos
Featherweight (145)
Danny Chavez (11-4-1)
Chavez was a regional fighter who was gifted a step up to the Big Leagues during the pandemic era. It was a surprising debut from the Columbian Warrior, showcasing a well-rounded skillset with four perfect takedowns and clean-ish striking. Ramos is known for the spectacular, but Chavezβs solid jab and leg kicks are more consistent weapons.
Ricardo Ramos (15-4)
Ricardo Ramos could still be a UFC sweetheart, the Brazilian just needs a couple of favourable match-ups. Charles Oliveira-esque, if you will. The twenty-six-year-old carries ferocious power, exceptional athleticism and a stunning array of kicks. That isnβt to ignore Ramosβ strong wrestling chops, but Chavez has proven a tricky customer to takedown.
Predicted Result: Ramos Decision
Ramos is known for the spectacular, but Chavezβs solid jab and leg kicks are more consistent weapons. Ramosβ strong wrestling chops will struggle to shine as Chavez has proven a tricky customer to takedown during his UFC stint. If Chavez was more willing to lead the fight, he could deny Ramos the space to pull off his array of spectacular spinning attacks. Unfortunately for the Columbian Warrior, he doesnβt seem capable of laying down an uncomfortable pace on the Brazilian.
Result: Ramos def. Chavez // KO (spinning back elbow) Round 1 1:12
Winner βοΈ // Method β // Round β
Cody Stamann vs Eddie Wineland
Bantamweight (135)
Cody Stamann (19-5-1)
On a three-fight slide, youβd have been forgiven for assuming that Stamann would have been cut. Spartan has long been set as the βgatekeeperβ of Bantamweight, with his athletic gifts largely negated by his T-Rex reach. While it is very unlikely that Stamann can knock out a weathered Wineland, Stamannβs wrestling should be just enough to overcome a once impressive TDD.
Eddie Wineland (24-15-1)
It would be a crying shame if Eddie Wineland is remembered for his highlight-reel KO to Sean OβMalley. Wineland used to be a fleet-footed, tricksy counter-puncher. Without the spring to his step, Wineland is too easily caught as he squares onto his shots. Thereβs still pop to Winelandβs punches, but Stamann has never shown chin issues.
Predicted Result: Stamann Decision
Wineland used to be a fleet-footed, tricksy counter-puncher. Without the spring to his step, Wineland is too easily caught squared-on. Thereβs still pop to Winelandβs punches, but Stamann has never shown chin issues and has enough of an athletic edge to overcome a once impressive TDD.
Result: Stamann def. WIneland // TKO (punches) Round 1 0:59
Winner βοΈ // Method β // Round β
Kyle Daukaus vs Roman Dolidze
Middleweight (185)
Kyle Daukaus (11-2)
Daukaus has a canny knack for making fights swelteringly uncomfortable for opponents. An irritating range on the feet owing to his 6β3β³ frame, Daukausβ greatest strength is chaining his boxing with clinches and takedowns.
Roman Dolidze (9-1)
Dolidze is a bullying front-foot striker and enough of a physical specimen to cause issues for Daukaus. Technically, the two are planets apart, but Daukaus does tend to fall apart if any area of his well-rounded skill set is not firing.
Predicted Result: Daukaus Decision
Technically, the two are planets apart, but Daukaus does tend to fall apart if any area of his well-rounded skill set is not firing. As seen in the Trevin Giles fight, pressure can break Dolidze, and Daukaus has a canny knack for making fights swelteringly uncomfortable for opponents.
Result: Dolidze def. Daukaus // KO (knee and punches) Round 1 1:13
Winner β // Method β // Round β
Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn
Middleweight (185)
Phil Hawes (11-3)
Hawes did the classic, βpiece apart Chris Curtis until youβre slept by a peach of a counterpunchβ. Megatron carries beastly power and can be a bully from top control, but he is best set to have entertaining scraps outside of the rankings for a while.
Deron Winn (7-2)
A powerful wrestler, Deron Winn is shot in the foot by nature itself due to his slight frame. Hawes can slow which will allow Winn to impose his ground game, but it depends on how much punishment Winn eats in the interim.
Predicted Result: Hawes Decision
Megatron carries beastly power and can be a bully from top control, but he is best set to have entertaining scraps outside of the rankings for a while. Both men tend to slow down the stretch, but a sloppier fight does offer a chance for Winn to impose his ground game. Winn lacks the striking threat needed to keep Hawes gun-shy.
Result: Hawes def. Winn // TKO (elbows) Round 2 4:25
Winner βοΈ // Method β // Round β
Prediction Accuracy
UFC Austin
Winner: 7/13
Method: 5/13
Round: 3/13
2022 MMA Season
Winner: 158/241
Method: 120/241
Round: 105/241
MMA Overall
Winner: 654/1033
Method: 482/1033
Round: 429/1033
Takeaway comments: Time to give Ricardo Ramos a proper laid-out path from now on.
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