After a two-week break, the UFC returns with a less-than-stellar card at the Apex. Admittedly, the biggest draw for the card is Derrick Lewis’ weight loss and controversial comments over Dan Miragliotta – with the Black Beast insisting the veteran referee has a “conspiracy” against him. Fear not though, the UFC Vegas 68 Predictions are as glittering as ever.
The UFC Vegas 68 Main Card struggles to hold a light to Fedor Emelianenko and Ryan Bader over in Bellator, yet Derrick Lewis tends to create highlight-reel stoppages for himself or his opponents. Saturday night could prove to be a breakout night for ‘Polar Bear’ Sergei Spivak, a long-time gatekeeper who has finally cracked the code on the mat.
Where is the UFC Vegas 68 Main Card taking place?
The Main Card will take place at the UFC Apex in Nevada, United States, on February 4 2023.
What time does UFC Vegas 68 Main Card start?
The UFC Vegas 68 Main Card is scheduled to start at 1AM ET in the US and 6AM GMT in the UK.
Where can I watch the UFC Vegas 68 Main Card?
The UFC Vegas 68 Main Card can be streamed on ESPN+ in the US and BT Sport in the UK. You are advised to use official streams for UFC Vegas 68 and avoid buffstreams, crackstreams or Reddit streams.
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UFC Vegas 68 Main Card Bitesize Predictions
| UFC Vegas 68 Main Card Odds | UFC Vegas Main Card 68 Predictions |
|---|---|
| Derrick Lewis vs Sergei Spivak Odds: (+195) / (-230) | Derrick Lewis vs Sergei Spivak Prediction: Spivak Decision |
| Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark Odds: (-245) / (+205) | Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark Prediction: Jung Decision |
| Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov Odds: (-135) / (+115) | Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov Prediction: Tybura Decision |
| Doo Ho Choi vs Kyle Nelson Odds: (-195) / (+165) | Doo Ho Choi vs Kyle Nelson Prediction: Choi TKO Round 2 |
| Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt Odds: (-325) / (+270) | Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt Prediction: Kinoshita Submission Round 2 |
UFC Vegas 68: Main Event Prediction
Derrick Lewis vs Sergei Spivak
Heavyweight (265)
Derrick Lewis (26-10)
Lewis may have been stopped in his last two fights, but it doesn’t necessarily indicate a massive decline. The Black Beast has built a career of Homer Simpson-ing his way into the later rounds before landing his one-shot knockout power. Lewis endured a similar stretch of humiliating losses to Daniel Cormier and Junior Dos Santos but then went on to build a four-fight streak (including a knockout over Blaydes).
As long as Lewis remains the flawed yet consistent Heavyweight we have all come to know, he very much beats Spivak. The veteran has meme-level TDD but he is truly difficult to pin on the mat. Spivak has been honing his craft in the shadows, but there are still times that Spivak ends up on his back when pursuing takedowns.
Sergei Spivak (15-3)
Polar Bear has developed leaps and bounds since his UFC debut back in 2019. Spivak, at his core, remains a grinding wrestler who can expose the one-trick nature of many Heavyweights. Over 2022, we have witnessed more educated striking at range. There is absolutely no way that Spivak should engage in prolonged exchanges on the feet, but it also means he might not crumble at the first Lewis haymaker.
Lewis vs Spivak Prediction: Spivak Decision
Spivak, at his core, remains a grinding wrestler who can expose the one-trick nature of many Heavyweights. Despite all the memes, Lewis is a very difficult fighter to pin down to the mat. There is reason to believe that we may have witnessed a physical decline in Lewis over his past two losses, however. If not for such a perceived decline, Lewis would have to be favoured in the stylistic match-up. Spivak is deathly slow on the feet, despite refining his fundamentals over his UFC tenure, and is primed to walk on to a Black Beast highlight reel.
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UFC Vegas 68: Co-Main Event Prediction
Da Un Jung vs Devin Clark
Light Heavyweight (205)
Da Un Jung (15-3-1)
Devin Jung may have been iced in just over three minutes last time out, yet a loss to Dustin Jacoby is nothing compared to the black mark of a year-2020 draw to Smilin’ Sam Alvey. Da Un Jung is unlikely to ever stray from his consistent boxing rhythm. The South Korean was just unfortunate to face Jacoby – a taller, more technical and experienced version of himself on the feet.(13-7)
Devin Clark (13-7)
After snapping his losing streak with a surprise Heavyweight win over William Knight, Clark dropped down to Light Heavyweight to be dismantled on the mat by Azamat Murzakanov. Clark is phenomenally durable and a strong athlete but he has regularly shown technical deficiencies in one of the UFC’s weakest divisions for talent.
Jung vs Clark Prediction: Jung Decision
Jung may have been iced by Dustin Jacoby in under a round last time out, but the South Korean should be far too polished on the outside to be troubled by Clark on the feet. The American is phenomenally durable and a strong athlete but he has regularly shown technical deficiencies in one of the UFC’s weakest divisions for talent.
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UFC Vegas 68: Main Card Predictions
Marcin Tybura vs Blagoy Ivanov
Heavyweight (265)
Marcin Tybura (23-7)
It’s okay, we can all admit that a bit of sick hit the back of our throats when we saw this match-up. Why has the UFC pitted the division’s most heinous ‘lay-n-prayers’ on the Main Card? Tybura was able to stop the rampant hype train of Alexandr Romanov through virtue of having a gas tank longer than a single round. The Pole remains a controlling wrestler with unambiguous striking.
Blagoy Ivanov (19-4)
Blagoy Ivanov’s recovery from a stabbing to the chest is miraculous. How do I know? That would be because the commentary team has to bring it up to fill the time whenever the Bulgarian fights. Ivanov’s successful Sambo background never fully transitioned to the octagon, instead relying on his ridiculous chin to wear opponents down.
Tybura vs Ivanov Prediction: Tybura Decision
The fans lose in this one. Tybura was able to stop the rampant hype train of Alexandr Romanov through virtue of having a gas tank longer than a single round. The Pole remains a controlling wrestler with unambiguous striking, but he will at least attempt to set some sort of pace, unlike Ivanov.
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Doo Ho Choi vs Kyle Nelson
Featherweight (145)
Doo Ho Choi (14-4)
Doo Ho Choi returns to the octagon three years after his entertaining yet demoralising loss to Charles Jourdain. After stringing together a 3-0 (3 first-round KOs) start to his UFC career, the South Korean has since lost his last three fights and failed to taste victory since 2016. Injuries have hampered Starboy’s return, yet even in his losses to strong competition, Choi has shown glimpses of his former skills to suggest he’s still got it.
Kyle Nelson (13-5)
Kyle Nelson’s 1-4 UFC record is a fair assessment of his time in the organisation. The Canadian succeeded in the regionals with his power wrestling base but he has managed just a 10% takedown accuracy in the UFC. As such, he is left stranded on the feet against sharper, more athletic, strikers.
Choi vs Nelson Prediction: Choi TKO Round 2
Injuries have hampered Starboy’s return, yet even in his losses to strong competition, Choi has shown glimpses of his former skills to suggest he’s still got it. Nelson is relatively heavy-handed but has been totally neutralised in his wrestling (10% TD accuracy).
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Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt
Welterweight (170)
Yusaku Kinoshita (6-1)
DWCS victor, Yusaku Kinoshita, earned his ticket to the UFC off the back of a delightful counter left hook that toppled the towering 6’3″ frame of Jose Henrique Souza. The Japanese prospect is just 22 years old and has never reached the final bell in any of his fights. It’s too early to bang the drums just yet, but a powerful Southpaw with solid wrestling in the locker would be a welcome addition to the 170lb roster.
Adam Fugitt (8-3)
Drafted in to fall over to Michael Morales, Adam Fugitt managed to stick to the script. The large Welterweight was punished on the feet for his squared-on striking while the American failed to land 7 of 8 attempted takedowns.
Kinoshita vs Fugitt Prediction: Kinoshita Submission Round 2
Kinoshita is still a work in progress at 22 years old yet he holds a stark athletic advantage over Adam Fugitt. Expecting the Japanese prospect to dictate early exchanges and punishing Fugitt’s increasingly sloppy takedowns.
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