UFC Vegas 64 Prelims Predictions, Odds and Results: Rodriguez vs Lemos
UFC Vegas 64 Prelims Pintsized Background
Well, UFC Vegas 64 may be the most cursed card of the year. A record-tying four fighters missed weight on the scales: Grant Dawson, Benito Lopez, Carlos Candelario and Ramona Pascual. Losing Bryce Mitchell and Movsar Evloev as the Main Event is a sad state of affairs, but there’s still lots to talk about for UFC Vegas 64 Predictions.
Down on the UFC Vegas 64 prelims, submission threat Darrick Minner takes on the vastly experienced Shayilan Nuerdanbieke. The true gem of the undercard involves Mario Bautista and Benito Lopez in a solid unranked Bantamweight affair.
Where/When is UFC Vegas 64 Prelims taking place:
November 5, 2022. UFC Apex. Nevada, United States.
What time does UFC Vegas 64 Prelims start:
🇬🇧 UK: 8pm / 🇺🇸 US ET: 3pm
What channel is UFC Vegas 64 Prelims on:
🇬🇧 UK: BT Sports / 🇺🇸 US: ESPN+
Pintsized MMA content from the week before:
🚀 Preview: UFC Vegas 63 Predictions, Odds and Results: Kattar vs Allen
💰 PI’s Recommended Fight: Roman Dolidze vs Phil Hawes
Travel down the Pintsized rabbit hole:
🥊 UFC Vegas 64 Full Card | 🌟 UFC Vegas 64 Main Card | 📺 YouTube
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UFC Vegas 64 Prelims Picks & Odds
| UFC Vegas 64 Prelims Odds | UFC Vegas 64 Prelims Predictions |
|---|---|
| Darrick Minner vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Odds: (+185) / (-215) | Darrick Minner vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke Prediction: Darrick Minner Submission Round 1 |
| Miranda Maverick vs Shanna Young Odds: (-700) / (+510) | Miranda Maverick vs Shanna Young Prediction: Miranda Maverick Submission Round 1 |
| Mario Bautista vs Benito Lopez Odds: (-350) / (+290) | Mario Bautista vs Benito Lopez Prediction: Mario Bautista Decision |
| Jinh Yu Frey vs Polyana Viana Odds: (+120) / (-140) | Jinh Yu Frey vs Polyana Viana Prediction: Polyana Viana Decision |
| Johnny Munoz Jr vs Liudvik Shonlinian Odds: (-255) / (+215) | Johnny Munoz Jr vs Liudvik Shonlinian Prediction: Liudvik Shonlinian Decision |
| Jake Hadley vs Carlos Candelario Odds: (-260) / (+220) | Jake Hadley vs Carlos Candelario Prediction: Jake Hadley Submission Round 3 |
| Ramona Pascual vs Tamires Vidal Odds: (+105) / (-125) | Ramona Pascual vs Tamires Vidal Prediction: Tamires Vidal TKO Round 2 |
UFC Vegas 64: Preliminary Card
Darrick Minner vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Featherweight (145)
Darrick Minner (26-13)
Minner may be sitting on a two-fight slide but he represents an entertaining submission specialist on the mat. The long-time regional journeyman also tends to throw with full-blooded intent on the feet, often risking his questionable chin to land his own shots. Poor decision-making on the mat sees him lose strong positions in pursuit of submissions, but he also has a sneakily quiet 1-minute victory over Terrance McKinney.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke (37-10)
Wolverine remains a largely unknown quantity despite nearing over fifty fights under his belt – such is the quality of regional competition in Asia. A solid lay’n’pray wrestler, Nuerdanbieke could certainly walk into an early submission against Minner. It’s likely safer to back Nuerdanbieke riding out a decision after surviving Minner’s early threat – but the heart is overriding the brain.
Minner vs Nuerdanbieke Prediction: Minner Submission Round 1
Wolverine remains a largely unknown quantity despite nearing over fifty fights under his belt, such is the quality of regional competition in Asia. A solid lay’n’pray wrestler, it is likely safer to back Nuerdanbieke riding out a decision after surviving Minner’s early threat – but the heart is overriding the brain.
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Miranda Maverick vs Shanna Young
Women’s Flyweight (125)
Miranda Maverick (10-4)
A relentless chain-wrestler, Maverick was able to re-piece her career with a relatively simple performance over the leaky TDD of Sabina Mazo. A strong grappler, granite chinned and deep gas tank all suggest that Maverick owns the tools to claw herself back towards the top-15 Flyweight rankings.
Shanna Young (8-4)
Fair play to Shanna Young. The Shanimal is a comedically limited fighter, yet her victory over Gina Mazany spoke to her grittiness and surprising improvement in her TDD. It still feels like Young has not developed to the extent to expect anything other than a repeat of Maverick’s first-round submission over Young in Invicta back in 2019.
Maverick vs Young Prediction: Maverick Submission Round 1
The Shanimal is a comedically limited fighter, yet her victory over Gina Mazany spoke to her grittiness and surprising improvement in her TDD. It still feels like Young has not developed her entire game to prevent anything other than a repeat of Maverick’s first-round submission over Young in Invicta back in 2019.
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Mario Bautista vs Benito Lopez
Bantamweight (135)
Mario Bautista (10-2)
Mario Bautista shocked me when he managed to lock Brian Kelleher in a first-round rear-naked choke. The American was well known as a slick grappler on the mat, but Kelleher is a huge scalp in regards to an educated veteran with solid submission defence.
Benito Lopez (10-1)
Lopez has been out of the octagon since 2019, owing to injuries, but The Golden Boy is just 28 years old with enough time left to shake off the ring rust. Lopez has never felt comfortable in the clinch, however – unless Lopez has changed dramatically over the past few years.
Bautista vs Lopez Prediction: Bautista Decision
Lopez has been out of the octagon since 2019, owing to injuries, but The Golden Boy is just 28 years old with enough time left to shake off the ring rust. Lopez has never felt comfortable in the clinch, however – an area that Bautista excels. Bautista’s power on the feet should also cause early problems for Lopez too.
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Jinh Yu Frey vs Polyana Viana
Women’s Strawweight (115)
Jinh Yu Frey (11-7)
I have now come to terms that Jinh Yu Frey will be nothing more than a bit-piece player knocking around the door of the top 15. An adequate wrestler, Frey struggles physically as a blownup Atomweight. Tightened striking has levelled the field somewhat, but the athletic gap against many in the division is a difficult glass ceiling to smash.
Polyana Viana (12-5)
Frey really should win this tailor-made stylistic match-up by virtue of laying on top of Polyana Viana. After watching Frey fail to implement such a game plan against Vanessa Demopoulos, the Brazilian has to be considered the favourite based on a willingness to lead the fight alone.
Yu Frey vs Viana Prediction: Viana Decision
Frey really should win this tailor-made stylistic match-up by virtue of laying on top of Polyana Viana. After watching Frey fail to implement such a game plan against Vanessa Demopoulos, the Brazilian has to be considered the favourite based on a willingness to lead the fight alone. Frey is an ageing, blown-up Atomweight giving up too much weight to meet the UFC Strawweight division.
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Johnny Munoz Jr vs Liudvik Shonlinian
Bantamweight (135)
Johnny Munoz Jr (11-2)
Tony Gravely hits decently hard, but Munoz Jr’s knockout loss last time out speaks more of the Californian’s striking shortcomings than Gravely’s reincarnation as Mike Tyson. Munoz Jr is a slick grappler but he lacks the wrestling to brute force his way into his preferred fight.
Liudvik Shonlinian (9-2-1)
TUF competitor, Liudvik Shonlinian, lost his debut emphatically after a late-notice call-up to feed prospect, Jack Shore. Sholinian was controlled with relative ease against the cage but proved relatively difficult to takedown as the contest drew on against Shore. Shonlinian is similarly poor as Munoz Jr on the feet but is a nuisance to shift if he bundles his way to top control.
Munoz Jr vs Shonlinian Prediction: Shonlinian Decision
Munoz Jr is a slick grappler but he lacks the wrestling to brute force his way into his preferred fight. Shonlinian lost his debut emphatically to Jack Shore but proved relatively difficult to takedown as the contest drew on against Shore. The Ukrainian is similarly poor as Munoz Jr on the feet but is a nuisance to shift if he bundles his way to top control.
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Jake Hadley vs Carlos Candelario
Flyweight (125)
Jake Hadley (8-1)
A battle between two fighters yet to earn a win in the UFC. Hadley has a solid string of scalps in Cage Warriors, but his inability to handle Allan Nascimento on the mat is a red flag. A functional striker, Hadley can handle himself on the feet, but he cannot afford to operate out of a closed guard.
Carlos Candelario (8-2)
Candelario is a technically limited, gritty scrapper whose reckless abandon creates risk and reward in equal measure. The Brazilian has the explosivity to catch Hadley by surprise on the feet, but as seen against Tatsuro Taira, he can be ground down on the mat.
Hadley vs Candelario Prediction: Hadley Submission Round 3
Candelario is a technically limited, gritty scrapper whose reckless abandon creates risk and reward in equal measure. The Brazilian has the explosivity to catch Hadley by surprise on the feet, but as seen against Tatsuro Taira, he can be ground down on the mat. Hadley, hopefully, has learnt a great deal from his naive loss to Allan Nascimento.
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Ramona Pascual vs Tamires Vidal
Women’s Bantamweight (135)
Ramona Pascual (6-4)
A dreadful fight in a dreadful division. Ramona Pascual is still chasing her first victory in the UFC after comprehensively dropping decisions to the likes of Josiane Nunes and Joselyne Edwards. The Hong Kong fighter owns a strong chin and is hellbent on pursuing takedowns, though, which is typically a solid skillset for such a poor division.
Tamires Vidal (6-1)
UFC debutant, Tamires Vidal, owns the athletic edge over Pascual and that’s pretty much it. Pascual should have the tools to take Vidal to the mat early and never look back. At such a lowly level of WMMA, simple decision-making often isn’t the strong suit.
Pascual vs Vidal Prediction: Vidal TKO Round 2
UFC debutant, Tamires Vidal, owns the athletic edge over Pascual and that’s pretty much it. Pascual should have the tools to take Vidal to the mat early and never look back. At such a lowly level of WMMA, simple decision-making often isn’t the strong suit.
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