UFC Vegas 63 Main Card Predictions, Odds and Results: Kattar vs Allen
UFC Vegas 63 Main Card Pintsized Background
If you squint your eyes really hard, UFC Vegas 63 doesn’t seem like such a bad card! The main event, a top Featherweight bout between Calvin Kattar and Arnold Allen, promises a back-and-forth slug affair on the feet. Even in the co-main, two long-time UFC veterans juke it out to scrape back towards a top-15 ranking.
Where/When is UFC Vegas 63 Main Card taking place:
October 29, 2022. UFC Apex. Nevada, United States.
What time does UFC Vegas 63 Main Card start:
🇬🇧 UK: 12pm / 🇺🇸 US ET: 7pm
What channel is UFC Vegas 63 Main Card on:
🇬🇧 UK: BT Sports / 🇺🇸 US: ESPN+
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🥊 UFC Vegas 63 Full Card | 🌟 UFC Vegas 63 Prelims | 📺 YouTube
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UFC Vegas 63 Main Card Picks & Odds
UFC Vegas 63 Main Card Odds | UFC Vegas 63 Main Card Predictions |
---|---|
Calvin Kattar vs Arnold Allen Odds: (-105) / (-115) | Calvin Kattar vs Arnold Allen Prediction: Kattar Decision |
Tim Means vs Max Griffin Odds: (+160) / (-190) | Tim Means vs Max Griffin Prediction: Griffin Decision |
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Jared Vanderaa Odds: (-195) / (+165) | Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Jared Vanderaa Prediction: Cortes-Acosta TKO Round 1 |
Tresean Gore vs Josh Fremd Odds: (+135) / (-155) | Tresean Gore vs Josh Fremd Prediction: Fremd Decision |
Dustin Jacoby vs Khalil Rountree Odds: (-170) / (+145) | Dustin Jacoby vs Khalil Rountree Prediction: Jacoby Decision |
UFC Vegas 63: Main Event
Calvin Kattar vs Arnold Allen
Featherweight (145)
Calvin Kattar (23-6)
Calvin Kattar only deals in Main Events, and can anyone blame the UFC? The all-action striker eats a ton of punishment en route to delivering some of the most aesthetic boxing combinations in the organisation’s highlight reel history. Never can Kattar’s heart or durability be questioned – to have continued fighting after the Max Holloway mauling is a testament to his innate invincibility.
Of course, all fighter’s chins have an expiry date, with Kattar’s penchant for absorbing strikes likely drawing that date closer. Allen isn’t an explosive one-shot striker, however. As a result, Kattar can likely rely upon his trademark chin once again to drag this fight deep and settle into his rhythmic combinations. Essentially, if you can’t finish Kattar, you are going to have to maintain an exceptional volume. If Allen has not laid an uncomfortable early pace, Kattar will pry his way back into the championship rounds with his sniping straight shots and bodywork.
Arnold Allen (18-1)
Arnold Allen has been in the UFC since 2015 and has won all nine of his fights, yet it still felt as though the Brit only made his first major step-up last time out against Dan Hooker. For the fans, the brutal flurries for the first-round knockout gained Allen the fame he richly deserved. For analysts, the swarming overload on the feet told us very little of the new weapons Almighty has added to his kit over the years.
Still, Allen’s love for a brawl may well see him run into a wall against Kattar. The 28-year-old edges Kattar in hand speed and early initiative, yet the liberal use of his chin opens up regular windows for Kattar to punish. Whether Allen can cut off the cage consistently is the key question. It seems some corners have disregarded Allen’s ability on the mat, but the Suffolkian could certainly surprise many with an early takedown threat against a cold Kattar.
Kattar vs Allen Prediction: Kattar Decision
Although all fighter’s chins have an expiry date, it feels as though Calvin Kattar’s chin has many more miles left on the clock. As such, the question remains whether Allen can lay an early pace that prevents Kattar from warming into his reads. The Brit blitzed Dan Hooker in under a round last time out, but weight may have played a significant hand in the affair.
Of particular worry is Allen’s liberal use of his chin when closing the distance. While I think the 28-year-old edges Kattar in hand speed and early initiative, we are yet to see him cut the cage at a level that is required to keep Kattar restrained. Eventually, Kattar will pry his way back into the championship rounds with his sniping straight shots and bodywork. A quick nod towards Allen potentially dipping into his underrated ground game – don’t be surprised by the threat of an early takedown.
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UFC Vegas 63: Co-Main Event
Tim Means vs Max Griffin
Welterweight (170)
Tim Means (32-13-1)
Has Kevin Holland ended Dirty Bird’s mini-renaissance over 2020-2021? The veteran beat Laureano Staropoli, Mike Perry and Nicolas Dalby off the back of voluminous range striking alongside an array of clubbing elbows in the clinch. The physical gap against Kevin Holland was stark, however. Griffin won’t pose a similar athletic threat, but he will create a punishing, open fight that could question how much is left in Means’ tank.
Max Griffin (18-9)
Max Griffin may not have climbed anywhere near the top of the food chain, but Pain has enjoyed an exciting career transformation. Recently, Griffin had leaned into operating as a gritty brawler, relying upon his freakish durability. The last time out was an exception, however, as Griffin drew Neil Magny onto long counters. Against the high volume of Means, Griffin can lay enough traps for Means to eventually walk onto one.
Means vs Griffin Prediction: Griffin Decision
Recently, Griffin had leaned into operating as a gritty brawler, relying upon his freakish durability. The last time out was an exception, however, as Griffin drew Neil Magny onto long counters. Against the high volume of Means, Griffin can lay enough traps for Means to eventually walk onto one. Not to write off Means’ three-fight streak over 2020-2021, proving his technical excellence – especially his elbows in the clinch. Both fighters love to give up hard-fought decisions, however, so it could well be a coin-flip.
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UFC Vegas 63: Main Card
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Jared Vanderaa
Heavyweight (265)
Waldo Cortes-Acosta (7-0)
DWCS victor, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, is a Heavyweight boxer/mixed martial artist hybrid. Waldo’s boxing career isn’t much to write home about, with the peak coming off a first-round TKO loss on the undercard of Joe Smith Jr vs Maxim Vlasov. Salsa Boy is your classic slugger Heavyweight, with enough early aggression to break the mentally broken Jared Vanderaa.
Jared Vanderaa (12-9)
At a certain point, I’m not sure there will any point in trying to analyse Jared Vanderaa. The Mountain is being fleeced by the UFC as a walking highlight reel, walking into what is expected to be his fourth straight loss in 2022. Vanderaa has a slight chance of exposing Cortes-Acosta’s lack of ground game, but his only takedown in the UFC came against Harry Hunsucker in the DWCS back in 2020.
Cortes-Acosta vs Vanderaa Prediction: Cortes-Acosta TKO Round 1
Salsa Boy is your classic slugger Heavyweight, with enough early aggression to break the mentally broken Jared Vanderaa. To be frank, Vanderaa is being used by the UFC as a walking highlight reel. Vanderaa has a slight chance of exposing Cortes-Acosta’s lack of ground game, but his only takedown in the UFC came against Harry Hunsucker in the DWCS back in 2020.
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Tresean Gore vs Josh Fremd
Middleweight (185)
Tresean Gore (3-2)
Mr Vicious is a physical beast who is fresh enough in his career to mould a solid skillset on the regionals. Unfortunately, TUF has dropped the Middleweight into an awkward level too early into his career. Gore carries heavy hands but largely fails to hit the mark as a result of his single-shot preference.
Josh Fremd (9-3)
Gore’s greatest success comes from earning an opponent’s respect early with his power. As seen against Anthony Hernandez, Josh Fremd refuses to wilt under early firepower. The Big Yinz has had his chin checked before, involving a two-minute starching to Gregory Rodrigues, but it’s fair to say that Robocop is several levels above Gore at the moment.
Gore vs Fremd Prediction: Fremd Decision
Gore’s greatest success comes from earning an opponent’s respect early with his power. As seen against Anthony Hernandez, Josh Fremd refuses to wilt under early firepower. The Big Yinz has had his chin checked before, involving a two-minute starching to Gregory Rodrigues, but it’s fair to say that Robocop’s striking is several levels above Gore’s single-shot attack.
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Dustin Jacoby vs Khalil Rountree
Light Heavyweight (205)
Dustin Jacoby (18-5-1)
A consistent, experienced and fabulously compact kickboxer, Dustin Jacoby also tapped into a bit of rare power against Da Un Jung. Khalil Rountree’s furious aggression will open windows for Jacoby to land his powerful counters. The 34-year-old isn’t the slickest lateral mover, however, and can be coaxed into dropping his strengths for a war in the pocket.
Khalil Rountree (10-5)
Rountree may be sitting on a 2-fight streak, but you can never be too sure what version of The War Horse will enter the octagon. Of note, is Rountree’s renewed emphasis on kicks that once debilitated Eryk Anders. Rountree’s terrifying power carries into every fight, but his inconsistent approach leaves it difficult to back him against Mr Consistent.
Jacoby vs Rountree Prediction: Jacoby Decision
Khalil Rountree’s furious aggression will open windows for Jacoby to land his powerful counters. It’s anyone’s guess as to what version of Rountree will enter the octagon, but his terrifying power carries into each fight. Backing the consistency of Jacoby’s stand-up, but it’s important to note that the 34-year-old isn’t the slickest lateral mover and can be backed onto the cage.
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