Chavez vs Kamaka III Analysis and Prediction

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Chavez vs Kamaka III Analysis and Prediction

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Danny Chavez (11-4) vs Kai Kamaka III (8-4)

Featherweight (145)

Danny Chavez

A lightning-fast kicker, Chavez often surrenders his own space with ease thus failing to create the opportunities to kick. Worse yet, Chavez can watch fights slip by as he passively waits on the back-foot for the perfect counter opportunity. Of course, Chavez works excellent scrambles against the fence which will frustrate Kamaka’s wrestling. Yet without the volume to win rounds comfortably, Chavez is banking on a hard counter landing to win the round/fight.

Kai Kamaka III

Maaan. I was really hot on Kamaka III making a stir in the UFC, but he has failed to make a Magicarp splash at Featherweight. The wrestle-boxer strings together aesthetic combinations on the inside, but it has also resulted in the Hawaiian eating a lot of damage. On the one hand, Kamaka’s patience at range leaves a prime target for one of Chavez’s mean kicks. On the other, when Kamaka presses, his aggressive volume and bodywork can outwork Chavez on the cards. That’s even without considering if Kamaka can get his wrestling firing.

Predicted Result: Kamaka III Decision

A lightning-fast kicker, Chavez tends to bank on his power landing to secure rounds or the fight. Unfortunately, Chavez also surrenders his own space while passively waiting for the perfect counter opportunity. Kamaka III hasn’t exactly made a splash in the UFC, but the wrestle-boxer has the more diverse tools to win this. While Kamaka does linger at range, leaving himself open to a Chavez kick, his aggressive volume and bodywork can outwork Chavez on the cards. That’s even without considering if Kamaka can get his wrestling firing.

Kai Kamaka III's time in the UFC is slowly winding down unless the Hawaiian can find a big performance on Saturday night | Chavez vs Kamaka III
Kai Kamaka III’s time in the UFC is slowly winding down unless the Hawaiian can find a big performance on Saturday night | Chavez vs Kamaka III

Want to view analysis and predictions for all the match-ups on UFC on ESPN 28?

CLICK HERE


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